Stocks for the Long Run : the Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns and Long-term Investment Strategies

(Greg DeLong) #1

Technical analysis (Cont.):
randomness of stock prices
and, 291–292, 293i, 294
trending markets and price
reversals and, 294–295
Technology boom of 1999-2001,
320–322
Technology bubble, 167
Telecommunications services
sector:
in GICS, 53
global shares in, 175i, 177
Telefonica, 177
Templeton, John, 65q, 66, 161q
Tennessee Coal and Iron, 47
in DJIA, 39i, 49
Terrorist attacks:
market movements and,
221–223, 222i, 226
of September 11, 2001,
221–223, 222i
Texaco, 54–55, 56i
Texas Co., 55
Thaler, Richard, 17n, 303, 329,
331 n, 332–333, 335
Thatcher Glass, 60i, 62
Theoretical high/low, 296n
Theory of Investment Value
(Williams), 101
Thomson Houston, 57
Time horizons, returns and,
361
Time Warner, 176
Titman, Sheridan, 302
Tobin Q, 117–119, 118i
Tootsie Rolls, 64
Total, 177, 184
Total return, defined, 5
Toyoda, Sakichi, 183
Toyoda Loom Works, 183
Toyota Motor Corporation, 58,
176, 183
Trading, informed, 349–350
“Trading Is Hazardous to Your
Wealth” (Barber and Odean),
325
Treasury inflation-protected
securities (TIPS), 115, 361


Trend lines:
caution regarding use to
predict future returns,
41–42
in DJIA, 40–42, 41i
Trends, technical analysis and,
294–295
Triple witching hour, 260–261
Triumph of the Optimists: 101
Years of Global Investment
Returns(Dimson, Marsh, &
Staunton), 18, 20
Tuna, Irem, 108n
Tversky, Amos, 322–323, 328, 330
Twain, Mark, 305q
200-day moving-average, 295,
296–297, 298i, 299–300, 299i
distribution of gains and
losses and, 301–302, 301i

UBS, 175
Uncertainty, 226–227
Underfunding, of defined
benefit plans, 106
Unemployment rate, 242
Unilever, 47, 177
Union Carbide, 56i, 58
Union Electric Co., 48
Uniroyal, 49
United Kingdom, end of gold
standard in, 9, 10i
United States:
annual real return in, 20
employment statistics for,
237–238
end of gold standard in,
9–10, 10i, 188–189, 192–193
global market share of, 179,
179 i, 180i
gold as backing for currency
of, 193–194
political parties in, market
movements and, 227–228,
228 i–230i, 230
sector allocation and, 175i,
177
uncertainty about president
in, 226–227

U.S. Food Products Corp., 48
U.S. Leather Corp., 47
in DJIA, 38
U.S. Leather Pfd., in DJIA, 39i, 49
U.S. Rubber, 47
in DJIA, 39i, 49
U.S. Steel Corp., 47, 49, 56i, 57,
58
USX Corporation, 57
USX-U.S. Steel Group, 49
Utilities sector:
in GICS, 53
global shares in, 175i, 177
Utility, 322

Valuation, 144–145
valueversusgrowth stocks
and, 144–145
Value Line Index, 47n, 256
Value stocks, 362–363
growth stocks versus,
144–145
nature of, 157
Value-weighted indexes, 42–45
(See alsoCenter for Research
in Security Prices [CRSP]
index; Nasdaq Index;
Standard & Poor’s [S&P]
index)
Valuing Wall Street(Smithers
and Wright), 117
Vanguard 500 Index Fund, 263n
Vanguard Institutional Index
Fund Plus, 351n
Vanguard S&P 500 Index funds,
351
Van Strum, Kenneth S., 80n
Verizon, 177
Vesting, 106
Viceira, Luis M., 35n
Vietnam War, 233
bear market and, 85
Virginia Carolina Chemicals,
60 i, 63
Vishny, R., 326n
VIX Index, 281–282, 282i, 334
Vodafone, 177
Volatility (seeMarket volatility)

Index 379

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