The Economist - USA (2021-10-09)

TheEconomistOctober9th 2021

Economic& financial indicators

84

Economic data

Grossdomesticproduct Consumerprices Unemployment Current-account Budget Interestrates Currencyunits

% change on year ago % change on year ago rate balance balance 10-yr gov't bonds change on per $ % change

latest quarter* 2021† latest 2021† % % of GDP, 2021† % of GDP, 2021† latest,% year ago, bp Oct 6th on year ago

UnitedStates 12.2 Q2 6.7 6.0 5.3 Aug 4.3 5.2 Aug -3.4 -12.6 1.5 77.0 -

China 7.9 Q2 5.3 8.0 0.8 Aug 1.2 5.1 Aug‡§ 2.8 -4.9 2.7 §§ -31.0 6.46 5.4

Japan 7.6 Q2 1.9 2.3 -0.4 Aug -0.2 2.8 Aug 3.4 -8.9 nil -8.0 111 -5.0

Britain 23.6 Q2 23.9 6.6 3.2 Aug 2.6 4.6 Jun†† -4.5 -10.9 1.0 68.0 0.74 4.0

Canada 12.7 Q2 -1.1 5.4 4.1 Aug 3.0 7.1 Aug -2.6 -9.4 1.5 94.0 1.26 5.6

Euroarea 14.3 Q2 9.2 4.8 3.4 Sep 1.9 7.5 Aug 3.3 -7.2 -0.2 33.0 0.87 -2.3

Austria 12.8 Q2 24.6 3.1 3.1 Sep 2.4 6.1 Aug 2.7 -7.7 0.1 40.0 0.87 -2.3

Belgium 14.9 Q2 7.0 4.8 2.9 Sep 2.1 6.4 Aug -0.2 -7.2 0.1 42.0 0.87 -2.3

France 18.7 Q2 4.5 5.5 2.1 Sep 1.6 8.0 Aug -1.4 -8.7 0.1 40.0 0.87 -2.3

Germany 9.4 Q2 6.7 3.1 4.1 Sep 2.5 3.6 Aug 6.7 -5.7 -0.2 33.0 0.87 -2.3

Greece 16.4 Q2 14.5 5.4 1.9 Aug 0.1 13.2 Aug -3.8 -5.7 0.9 -6.0 0.87 -

Italy 17.2 Q2 11.2 6.0 2.6 Sep 1.3 9.3 Aug 3.8 -11.5 0.9 11.0 0.87 -

Netherlands 10.4 Q2 15.9 3.9 2.4 Aug 2.2 3.2 Aug 9.8 -4.7 -0.2 24.0 0.87 -

Spain 17.6 Q2 4.3 6.1 4.0 Sep 2.4 14.0 Aug 0.9 -8.9 0.4 22.0 0.87 -

CzechRepublic 8.8 Q2 3.9 3.5 4.1 Aug 2.7 3.0 Aug‡ 3.2 -8.7 2.1 116 22.0

Denmark 10.0 Q2 11.7 3.2 1.8 Aug 1.7 3.6 Aug 7.5 -0.3 0.1 52.0 6.45 -

Norway 6.1 Q2 4.4 3.0 3.4 Aug 3.0 4.2 Jul‡‡ 6.9 -3.0 1.4 76.0 8.61 7.5

Poland 11.2 Q2 8.7 5.3 5.8 Sep 4.1 5.6 Sep§ 2.3 -6.6 2.4 106 3.95 -3.8

Russia 10.5 Q2 na 3.8 7.4 Sep 5.8 4.4 Aug§ 4.5 -1.8 7.7 140 72.4 7.6

Sweden 9.5 Q2 3.6 4.0 2.1 Aug 1.9 8.5 Aug§ 4.3 -1.9 0.4 38.0 8.81 1.3

Switzerland 7.7 Q2 7.4 3.5 0.9 Sep 0.3 2.9 Aug 6.8 -3.8 -0.1 38.0 0.93 1

Turkey 21.7 Q2 na 6.3 19.6 Sep 17.1 12.1 Jul§ -2.4 -2.4 17.9 520 8.89 3

Australia 9.6 Q2 2.7 4.2 3.8 Q2 2.4 4.5 Aug 1.8 -5.9 1.6 73.0 1.38 4

HongKong 7.6 Q2 -3.7 5.4 1.6 Aug 1.6 4.7 Aug‡‡ 2.5 -4.2 1.3 78.0 7.79 5

India 20.1 Q2 -41.2 8.2 5.3 Aug 5.4 6.9 Sep -0.9 -7.2 6.3 25.0 75.0 0

Indonesia 7.1 Q2 na 3.0 1.6 Sep 1.7 6.3 Q1§ -0.2 -6.0 6.3 -61.0 14,253 4

Malaysia 16.1 Q2 na 3.8 2.0 Aug 2.4 4.8 Jul§ 4.0 -6.0 3.5 78.0 4.19 -0.9

Pakistan 4.7 2021** na 3.8 9.0 Sep 9.2 6.9 2019 -3.3 -7.2 10.5 ††† 83.0 171 -3.8

Philippines 11.8 Q2 -5.1 4.3 4.8 Sep 4.1 6.9 Q3§ -0.9 -7.5 4.8 194 50.9 -4.9

Singapore 14.7 Q2 -7.2 5.4 2.4 Aug 1.8 2.7 Q2 19.4 -4.2 1.6 70.0 1.36 nil

SouthKorea 6.0 Q2 3.1 4.0 2.5 Sep 2.2 2.6 Aug§ 4.7 -4.4 2.4 87.0 1,192 -2.6

Taiwan 7.4 Q2 -4.2 5.7 2.6 Sep 1.8 4.1 Aug 15.5 -0.8 0.5 5.0 28.0 2.9

Thailand 7.5 Q2 1.5 1.4 1.7 Sep 0.8 1.5 Dec§ -0.9 -7.5 1.7 57.0 33.9 -8.1

Argentina 17.9 Q2 -5.5 7.8 51.4 Aug 47.5 9.6 Q2§ 1.3 -5.5 na na 98.9 -22.1

Brazil 12.4 Q2 -0.2 5.0 9.7 Aug 8.0 13.7 Jul§‡‡ 0.5 -5.4 11.0 374 5.50 -0.2

Chile 18.1 Q2 4.2 10.3 4.8 Aug 3.9 8.5 Aug§‡‡ -1.5 -6.7 6.0 345 814 -2.2

Colombia 17.0 Q2 -9.2 7.8 4.5 Sep 3.1 12.3 Aug§ -3.4 -8.5 7.4 226 3,779 1.0

Mexico 19.6 Q2 6.0 6.4 5.6 Aug 5.3 4.1 Aug 1.8 -3.3 7.6 173 20.7 3.6

Peru 41.9 Q2 3.5 12.6 5.2 Sep 4.2 10.1 Aug§ -3.4 -4.4 6.3 283 4.13 -13.3

Egypt 7.7 Q2 na 3.3 5.7 Aug 5.4 7.3 Q2§ -4.4 -8.0 na na 15.7 0.1

Israel 17.5 Q2 16.6 5.0 2.2 Aug 1.7 5.0 Aug 3.8 -7.0 1.2 44.0 3.24 5.3

SaudiArabia -4.1 2020 na 2.2 0.3 Aug 3.1 6.6 Q2 4.5 -2.0 na na 3.75 nil

SouthAfrica 19.3 Q2 4.7 4.5 5.1 Aug 4.3 34.4 Q2§ 1.8 -9.0 9.5 -6.0 15.1 9.4

Source: Haver Analytics. *% change on previous quarter, annual rate. †The Economist Intelligence Unit estimate/forecast. §Not seasonally adjusted. ‡New series. **Year ending June. ††Latest 3 months. ‡‡3-month moving

average. §§5-year yield. †††Dollar-denominated bonds.

Markets

%changeon: %changeon:

Index one Dec31st index one Dec31st

Inlocalcurrency Oct6th week 2020 Oct6th week 2020

UnitedStatesS&P 500 4,363.6 0.1 16.2

UnitedStatesNAScomp 14,501.9 -0.1 12.5

ChinaShanghaiComp 3,568.2 0.9 2.7

ChinaShenzhenComp 2,395.1 2.0 2.8

JapanNikkei 225 27,528.9 -6.8 0.3

JapanTopix 1,941.9 -4.7 7.6

BritainFTSE 100 6,995.9 -1.6 8.3

CanadaS&PTSX 20,191.7 0.2 15.8

EuroareaEUROSTOXX 50 4,012.6 -1.7 12.9

FranceCAC 40 6,493.1 -1.0 17.0

GermanyDAX* 14,973.3 -2.6 9.1

ItalyFTSE/MIB 25,605.7 -0.5 15.2

NetherlandsAEX 761.2 -1.9 21.9

SpainIBEX 35 8,775.0 -1.2 8.7

PolandWIG 71,789.3 2.7 25.9

RussiaRTS,$ terms 1,814.6 3.3 30.8

SwitzerlandSMI 11,569.4 -0.5 8.1

Tu r ke yBIST 1,371.7 -1.5 -7.1

AustraliaAllOrd. 7,496.2 -0.1 9.4

HongKongHangSeng 23,966.5 -2.8 -12.0

IndiaBSE 59,189.7 -0.4 24.0

IndonesiaIDX 6,417.3 4.1 7.3

MalaysiaKLSE 1,559.4 0.8 -4.2

PakistanKSE 44,373.2 nil 1.4

SingaporeSTI 3,083.9 0.3 8.4

SouthKoreaKOSPI 2,908.3 -5.0 1.2

TaiwanTWI 16,393.2 -2.7 11.3

ThailandSET 1,619.5 0.2 11.7

ArgentinaMERV 77,443.1 1.1 51.2

BrazilBVSP 110,559.6 -0.5 -7.1

MexicoIPC 50,974.5 -0.2 15.7

EgyptEGX 30 10,536.4 1.4 -2.8

IsraelTA-125 1,838.0 -1.0 17.2

SaudiArabiaTadawul 11,571.9 1.7 33.2

SouthAfricaJSEAS 63,987.0 -0.6 7.7

World,dev'dMSCI 3,016.0 -0.4 12.1

EmergingmarketsMSCI 1,227.1 -1.9 -5.0

UScorporatebonds,spreadoverTreasuries

Dec31st

Basispoints latest 2020

Investmentgrade 113 136

High-yield 332 429

Sources:RefinitivDatastream;Standard& Poor'sGlobalFixedIncome

Research.*Totalreturnindex.

Commodities

The Economist commodity-price index %changeon

2015=100 Sep 28th Oct 5th* month year

Dollar Index

All Items 151.4 152.8 -2.9 20.1

Food 129.6 129.7 2.5 25.2

Industrials

All 171.8 174.4 -6.3 16.8

Non-food agriculturals 142.3 145.8 6.0 42.5

Metals 180.5 182.9 -8.8 12.0

Sterling Index

All items 170.8 171.2 -1.7 14.3

Euro Index

All items 143.9 146.2 -0.8 22.1

Gold

$ per oz 1,737.0 1,754.6 -2.2 -8.3

Brent

$ per barrel 78.7 82.6 15.0 93.2

Sources: Bloomberg; CME Group; Cotlook; Refinitiv Datastream;

Fastmarkets; FT; ICCO; ICO; ISO; Live Rice Index; LME; NZ Wool

Services; Thompson Lloyd & Ewart; Urner Barry; WSJ. *Provisional.

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