9.20 I FUNDAMENTALS OF BUSINESS MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS
Probability
Therefore the chance of the Compound event = =91 65 59151 6 6× =
(b) When the balls are not replaced :
At the first trial, 4 balls may be drawn in^15 C 4 ways and 4 white balls may be drawn in^6 C 4 ways.
Therefore the chance of 4 white balls at first trial
(^64)
(^154)
C 1
= C = 91 (as above)
When 4 white balls have been drawn and removed, the bag contains 2 white and 9 black balls.
Therefore at the second trial, 4 balls may be drawn in^9 C 4 ways and 4 black balls maybe drawn in^9 C 4 ways
So, the chance of 4 black balls at the second trial
(^94)
(^114)
C
C
9 8 7 6 4! 21
4! 11 10 9 8 55
=
= × × × × =
× × ×
Therefore the chance of the compound event =91 55 7151 21 3× =
Example 29 :
A salesman is known to sell a product in 3 out of 5 attempts while another salesman is 2 out of 5 attempts.
Find the probability that (i) No sale will be effected when they both try to sell the product and (ii) Either of
them will succeed in selling the product.
Solution :
Let the two salesmen be A and B.
P (A) = The probability that the salesman A is able to sell the
product =^35
P (B) = The probability that the salesman B is able to sell the product^25
(i) probability that no sale will be effected = 1 −^35 1 −2 65 25 =
(ii) probability that either of them will succeed in selling the product
3 2 3 2 19
= +5 5 5 5 25− × =