Mathematical Methods for Physics and Engineering : A Comprehensive Guide

(Darren Dugan) #1

STATISTICS


properties and which reduces to the Neyman–Pearson statistic (31.108) in the


special case whereH 0 andH 1 are both simple hypotheses.


Consider the quite general, and commonly occurring, case in which the

data samplex is drawn from a populationP(x|a) with a known (or as-


sumed) functional form but depends on the unknown values of some parameters


a 1 ,a 2 ,...,aM. Moreover, suppose we wish to test the null hypothesisH 0 that


the parameter valuesalie in some subspaceS of the full parameter space


A. In other words, on the basis of the samplexit is desired to test the


null hypothesisH 0 :(a 1 ,a 2 ,...,aMlies inS) against the alternative hypothesis


H 1 :(a 1 ,a 2 ,...,aMlies inS), whereSisA−S.


Since the functional form of the population is known, we may write down the

likelihood functionL(x;a) for the sample. Ordinarily, the likelihood will have


a maximum as the parametersaare varied over the entire parameter spaceA.


This is the usual maximum-likelihood estimate of the parameter values, which


we denote byaˆ. If, however, the parameter values are allowed to vary only over


the subspaceSthen the likelihood function will be maximised at the pointˆaS,


which may or may not coincide with the global maximumaˆ. Now, let us take as


our test statistic thegeneralised likelihood ratio


t(x)=

L(x;ˆaS)
L(x;aˆ)

, (31.109)

whereL(x;aˆS) is the maximum value of the likelihood function in the subspace


SandL(x;ˆa) is its maximum value in the entire parameter spaceA.Itisclear


thattis a function of the sample values only and must lie between 0 and 1.


We will concentrate on the special case whereH 0 is the simple hypothesis

H 0 :a=a 0. The subspaceS then consists of only the single pointa 0. Thus


(31.109) becomes


t(x)=

L(x;a 0 )
L(x;aˆ)

, (31.110)

and the sampling distributionP(t|H 0 ) can be determined (in principle). As in the


previous subsection, the best rejection region for a given significanceαis simply


t<tcrit, where the valuetcritdepends onα. Moreover, as before, an equivalent


procedure is to use as a test statisticu=f(t), wheref(t) is any monotonically


increasing function oft; the corresponding rejection region is thenu<f(tcrit).


Similarly, one may use a test statisticv=g(t), whereg(t) is any monotonically


decreasing function oft; the rejection region then becomesv>g(tcrit). Finally,


we note that ifH 1 is also a simple hypothesisH 1 :a=a 1 , then (31.110) reduces


to the Neyman–Pearson test statistic (31.108).

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