318 MATHEMATICS
File Name : C:\Computer Station\Maths-IX\Chapter\Appendix\Appendix–2 (03–01–2006) PM65
A2.5 Summary
Year Enrolment Values Difference Values Difference
(in %) given between given between
by (2) values by (4) values0 41.9 41.90 0 41.9 0
1 42.6 42.12 0.48 42.3 0.3
2 42.7 42.34 0.36 42.52 0.18
3 42.9 42.56 0.34 42.74 0.16
4 43.1 42.78 0.32 42.96 0.14
5 43.2 43.00 0.2 43.18 0.02
6 43.5 43.22 0.28 43.4 0.1
7 43.5 43.44 0.06 43.62 – 0.12
8 43.6 43.66 – 0.06 43.84 – 0.24
9 43.7 43.88 – 0.18 44.06 – 0.36
10 44.1 44.10 0 44.28 – 0.18As you can see, many of the values that (4) gives are closer to the actual valuethan the values that (2) gives. The mean of the errors is 0 in this case.
We will stop our process here. So, Equation (4) is our mathematical descriptionthat gives a mathematical relationship between years and the percentage of enrolment
of girls of the total enrolment. We have constructed a mathematical model that describes
the growth.
The process that we have followed in the situation above is calledmathematical modelling.
We have tried to construct a mathematical model with the mathematical tools thatwe already have. There are better mathematical tools for making predictions from the
data we have. But, they are beyond the scope of this course. Our aim in constructing
this model is to explain the process of modelling to you, not to make accurate predictions
at this stage.
You may now like to model some real-life situations to check your understandingof our discussion so far. Here is an Exercise for you to try.