P1: qVa Trim: 6.125in×9.25in Top: 0.5in Gutter: 0.75in
CUUS2079-07 CUUS2079-Zafarani 978 1 107 01885 3 January 13, 2014 17:17
200 Information Diffusion in Social Media
We discussed three models in this section: internal, external, and mixed
influence. Depending on the model used to describe the diffusion of inno-
vations process, the respective equation forA(t) (Equations7.22,7.24,or
7.26) should be employed to model the system.
7.3.4 Intervention
Consider a faulty product being adopted. The product company is planning
to stop or delay adoptions until the product is fixed and re-released. This
intervention can performed by doing the following:
Limiting the distribution of the product or the audience that can adopt
the product. In our mathematical model, this is equivalent to reducing
the populationPthat can potentially adopt the product.
Reducing interest in the product being sold. For instance, the company
can inform adopters of the faulty status of the product. In our models,
this can be achieved by tamperingα: settingαto a very small value
in Equation7.22results in a slow adoption rate.
Reducing interactions within the population. Reduced interactions
result in less imitation of product adoptions and a general decrease in
the trend of adoptions. In our models, this can be achieved by setting
βto a small value.
7.4 Epidemics
In an Epidemic a disease spreads widely within a population. This process
consists of apathogen(the disease being spread), a population ofhosts
(humans, animals, and plants, among others), and a spreading mechanism
(breathing, drinking, sexual activity, etc.). Unlike information cascades and
herding, but similar to diffusion of innovations models, epidemic models
assume an implicit network and unknown connections among individuals.
This makes epidemic models more suitable when we are interested in global
patterns, such as trends and ratios of people getting infected, and not in who
infects whom.
In general, a complete understanding of the epidemic process requires
substantial knowledge of the biological process withineachhost and the
immune system process, as well as a comprehensive analysis of interac-
tions among individuals. Other factors such as social and cultural attributes
also play a role in how, when, and where epidemics happen. Large epi-
demics, also known aspandemics, have spread through human populations