P1: qVa Trim: 6.125in×9.25in Top: 0.5in Gutter: 0.75in
CUUS2079-07 CUUS2079-Zafarani 978 1 107 01885 3 January 13, 2014 17:17
7.5 Summary 209
100
80
60
Population 40
20
0
0102030
t
40 50
S(t)
I(t)
R(t)
Figure 7.17. SIRS Model Simulated withS 0 =99,I 0 =1,R 0 =0,γ= 0 .1,β= 0 .01,
andλ= 0 .02.
entails vaccinating a population inside a herd such that the pathogen cannot
initiate an outbreak inside the herd. In general, creating herd immunity
requires at least arandomsample of 96% of the population to be vacci-
nated. Interestingly, we can achieve the same herd immunity by making use
of friends in a network. In general, people know which of their friends have
more friends. So, they know or have access to these higher degree and more
connected nodes. Christakis found that if a random population of 30% of
the herd is selected and then these 30% are asked for their highest degree
friends, one can achieve herd immunity by vaccinating these friends. Of
course, older intervention techniques such as separating those infected from
those susceptible (quarantining them) or removing those infected (killing
cows with mad cow disease) still work.
7.5 Summary
In this chapter, we discussed the concept of information diffusion in social
networks. In the herd behavior, individuals observe the behaviors of others
and act similarly to them based on their own benefit. We reviewed the
well-known diners example and urn experiment and demonstrated how
conditional probabilities can be used to determine why herding takes place.
We discussed how herding experiments should be designed and ways to
intervene with it.