The Econmist - USA (2021-11-06)

(Antfer) #1

TheEconomistNovember6th 2021
Economic& financial indicators


79


Economic data


Grossdomesticproduct Consumerprices Unemployment Current-account Budget Interestrates Currencyunits
% change on year ago % change on year ago rate balance balance 10-yr gov't bonds change on per $ % change
latest quarter* 2021† latest 2021† % % of GDP, 2021† % of GDP, 2021† latest,% year ago, bp Nov 3rd on year ago
UnitedStates 4.9 Q3 2.0 5.7 5.4 Sep 4.4 4.8 Sep -3.5 -12.5 1.6 70.0 -
China 4.9 Q3 0.8 7.9 0.7 Sep 0.8 4.9 Sep‡§ 2.8 -4.9 2.8 §§ -24.0 6.40 4.5
Japan 7.6 Q2 1.9 2.3 0.2 Sep -0.2 2.8 Sep 3.4 -8.9 nil -8.0 114 -8.3
Britain 23.6 Q2 23.9 6.4 3.1 Sep 2.8 4.5 Jul†† -3.9 -10.9 1.1 77.0 0.73 5.5
Canada 12.7 Q2 -1.1 5.4 4.4 Sep 3.1 6.9 Sep -2.3 -9.5 1.7 104 1.24 5.7
Euroarea 3.7 Q3 9.1 4.9 4.1 Oct 2.1 7.4 Sep 3.1 -7.1 -0.2 45.0 0.86 -1.2
Austria 12.8 Q2 24.6 4.1 3.6 Oct 2.7 5.2 Sep 2.2 -7.4 0.1 50.0 0.86 -1.2
Belgium 4.7 Q3 7.4 5.0 4.2 Oct 2.3 6.3 Sep 1.1 -7.1 0.1 51.0 0.86 -1.2
France 3.3 Q3 12.6 6.1 2.6 Oct 1.9 7.7 Sep -1.5 -8.5 0.3 63.0 0.86 -1.2
Germany 2.5 Q3 7.3 3.1 4.5 Oct 2.9 3.4 Sep 6.9 -5.7 -0.2 45.0 0.86 -1.2
Greece 16.4 Q2 14.5 6.5 2.2 Sep 0.1 13.3 Sep -4.4 -9.6 1.2 19.0 0.86 -
Italy 3.8 Q3 10.8 6.0 2.9 Oct 1.6 9.2 Sep 3.8 -9.6 1.1 37.0 0.86 -
Netherlands 10.4 Q2 15.9 3.7 2.7 Sep 2.3 3.1 Sep 8.9 -5.2 -0.1 49.0 0.86 -
Spain 2.7 Q3 8.3 5.5 5.5 Oct 2.5 14.6 Sep 0.9 -8.9 0.6 47.0 0.86 -
CzechRepublic 8.8 Q2 5.7 3.4 4.9 Sep 3.6 2.7 Sep‡ 3.2 -8.3 2.6 160 22.0
Denmark 10.0 Q2 11.7 3.2 2.2 Sep 1.7 3.3 Sep 7.5 -0.3 0.1 58.0 6.42 -
Norway 6.1 Q2 4.4 3.0 4.1 Sep 3.0 4.0 Aug‡‡ 6.9 -3.0 1.4 76.0 8.54 9.5
Poland 10.8 Q2 6.6 5.2 6.8 Oct 4.7 5.6 Sep§ 2.1 -6.7 2.9 173 3.96 -2.3
Russia 10.5 Q2 na 4.2 8.1 Oct 6.6 4.3 Sep§ 5.2 -0.7 8.3 179 72.1 9.8
Sweden 3.7 Q3 7.4 4.0 2.5 Sep 2.2 8.2 Sep§ 5.2 -1.9 0.3 33.0 8.56 3.1
Switzerland 7.7 Q2 7.4 3.5 1.2 Oct 0.5 2.8 Sep 5.3 -3.8 -0.1 38.0 0.91 il
Turkey 21.7 Q2 na 8.0 19.9 Oct 17.1 12.0 Aug§ -3.0 -3.2 18.9 471 9.67 8
Australia 9.6 Q2 2.7 4.2 3.0 Q3 2.4 4.6 Sep 1.8 -5.9 1.9 108 1.35 7
HongKong 5.4 Q3 0.4 6.2 1.4 Sep 1.6 4.5 Sep‡‡ 2.9 -4.2 1.5 91.0 7.78 4
India 20.1 Q2 -41.2 8.2 4.3 Sep 5.4 7.8 Oct -0.9 -7.2 6.4 46.0 74.5 1
Indonesia 7.1 Q2 na 3.0 1.7 Oct 1.7 6.3 Q1§ -0.2 -6.0 6.2 -36.0 14,298 0
Malaysia 16.1 Q2 na 3.8 2.2 Sep 2.4 4.6 Aug§ 2.6 -6.0 3.6 93.0 4.15 0.2
Pakistan 4.7 2021* na 3.8 9.2 Oct 9.2 6.9 2019 -4.4 -6.9 10.6 ††† 114 169 -5.7
Philippines 11.8 Q2 -5.1 4.2 4.8 Sep 4.5 6.9 Q3§ -1.4 -7.5 4.7 164 50.6 -4.3
Singapore 6.5 Q3 3.4 6.1 2.5 Sep 1.9 2.6 Q3 18.1 -4.2 1.8 100 1.35 0.7
SouthKorea 4.0 Q3 1.2 4.1 3.2 Oct 2.2 2.7 Sep§ 4.6 -4.4 2.5 86.0 1,182 -4.0
Taiwan 3.8 Q3 2.3 5.7 2.6 Sep 2.0 3.9 Sep 15.2 -1.2 0.6 24.0 27.9 2.7
Thailand 7.5 Q2 1.5 1.4 1.7 Sep 1.0 1.5 Dec§ -1.4 -7.8 1.7 55.0 33.3 -6.8
Argentina 17.9 Q2 -5.5 8.1 52.5 Sep 47.3 9.6 Q2§ 1.6 -5.7 na na 99.9 -21.0
Brazil 12.4 Q2 -0.2 5.0 10.2 Sep 8.0 13.2 Aug§‡‡ 0.5 -5.4 11.9 422 5.62 1.4
Chile 18.1 Q2 4.2 11.0 5.3 Sep 4.3 8.4 Sep§‡‡ -1.8 -7.1 6.0 338 815 -7.6
Colombia 17.0 Q2 -9.2 9.8 4.5 Sep 3.4 12.1 Sep§ -4.1 -8.5 7.8 250 3,846 -0.7
Mexico 4.6 Q3 -0.8 6.4 6.0 Sep 5.3 3.9 Sep 1.8 -3.3 7.6 156 20.8 1.4
Peru 41.9 Q2 3.5 12.6 5.8 Oct 4.2 10.1 Sep§ -3.4 -4.4 5.9 165 4.01 -10.0
Egypt 7.7 Q2 na 3.3 6.6 Sep 5.4 7.3 Q2§ -4.4 -8.0 na na 15.7 -0.1
Israel 17.5 Q2 16.6 5.3 2.5 Sep 1.7 5.2 Sep 4.3 -6.5 1.3 38.0 3.12 9.3
SaudiArabia -4.1 2020 na 2.2 0.7 Sep 3.1 6.6 Q2 4.5 -2.0 na na 3.75 nil
SouthAfrica 19.3 Q2 4.7 4.9 5.1 Sep 4.4 34.4 Q2§ 1.8 -8.5 9.7 36.0 15.4 3.9
Source: Haver Analytics.
% change on previous quarter, annual rate. †The Economist Intelligence Unit estimate/forecast. §Not seasonally adjusted. ‡New series. **Year ending June. ††Latest 3 months. ‡‡3-month moving
average. §§5-year yield. †††Dollar-denominated bonds.


Markets
%changeon: %changeon:
Index one Dec31st index one Dec31st
Inlocalcurrency Nov3rd week 2020 Nov3rd week 2020
UnitedStatesS&P 500 4,660.6 2.4 24.1
UnitedStatesNAScomp 15,811.6 3.8 22.7
ChinaShanghaiComp 3,498.5 -1.8 0.7
ChinaShenzhenComp 2,393.6 -0.2 2.8
JapanNikkei 225 29,520.9 1.5 7.6
JapanTopix 2,031.7 0.9 12.6
BritainFTSE 100 7,248.9 -0.1 12.2
CanadaS&PTSX 21,265.1 1.5 22.0
EuroareaEUROSTOXX 50 4,309.6 2.1 21.3
FranceCAC 40 6,950.7 2.9 25.2
GermanyDAX* 15,960.0 1.6 16.3
ItalyFTSE/MIB 27,377.9 2.1 23.1
NetherlandsAEX 816.0 0.1 30.6
SpainIBEX 35 9,030.8 0.7 11.9
PolandWIG 72,975.1 -0.5 28.0
RussiaRTS,$ terms 1,826.7 -3.4 31.7
SwitzerlandSMI 12,383.3 2.4 15.7
Tu r ke yBIST 1,547.0 1.8 4.8
AustraliaAllOrd. 7,713.0 -0.6 12.6
HongKongHangSeng 25,024.8 -2.4 -8.1
IndiaBSE 59,771.9 -2.2 25.2
IndonesiaIDX 6,552.1 -0.8 9.6
MalaysiaKLSE 1,531.3 -3.3 -5.9


PakistanKSE 47,032.4 2.6 7.5
SingaporeSTI 3,219.7 nil 13.2
SouthKoreaKOSPI 2,975.7 -1.6 3.6
TaiwanTWI 17,122.2 0.3 16.2
ThailandSET 1,611.9 -1.0 11.2
ArgentinaMERV 92,095.0 7.9 79.8
BrazilBVSP 105,616.9 -0.7 -11.3
MexicoIPC 51,878.8 0.3 17.7
EgyptEGX 30 11,685.1 2.8 7.7
IsraelTA-125 1,966.6 1.8 25.4
SaudiArabiaTadawul 11,685.7 -1.0 34.5
SouthAfricaJSEAS 68,587.3 1.6 15.4
World,dev'dMSCI 3,212.4 1.9 19.4
EmergingmarketsMSCI 1,262.5 -1.6 -2.2

UScorporatebonds,spreadoverTreasuries
Dec31st
Basispoints latest 2020
Investmentgrade 113 136
High-yield 336 429
Sources:RefinitivDatastream;Standard& Poor'sGlobalFixedIncome
Research.*Totalreturnindex.

Commodities
The Economist commodity-price index %changeon
2015=100 Oct 26th Nov 2nd* month year
Dollar Index
All Items 156.7 149.3 -2.3 16.9
Food 130.6 133.1 2.7 27.1
Industrials
All 181.0 164.3 -5.8 10.3
Non-food agriculturals 146.2 145.7 -0.1 37.8
Metals 191.4 169.9 -7.1 4.9
Sterling Index
All items 173.4 167.4 -2.2 12.3
Euro Index
All items 149.9 142.9 -2.2 18.4
Gold
$ per oz 1,788.0 1,789.1 2.0 -6.1
Brent
$ per barrel 86.5 84.6 2.3 112.6
Sources: Bloomberg; CME Group; Cotlook; Refinitiv Datastream;
Fastmarkets; FT; ICCO; ICO; ISO; Live Rice Index; LME; NZ Wool
Services; Thompson Lloyd & Ewart; Urner Barry; WSJ. *Provisional.

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