19.7. Really Great Expectations 835
Problem 19.32.
An infinite version of Murphy’s Law is that if an infinite number of mutually inde-
pendent events are expected to happen, then the probability that only finitely many
happen is 0. This is known as the firstBorel-Cantelli Lemma.
(a)LetA 0 ;A 1 ;:::be any infinite sequence of mutually independent events such
that X
n 2 NPrŒAnçD1: (19.28)Prove that PrŒnoAnoccursçD 0.
Hint:Bkthe event that noAnwithnkoccurs. So the event that noAnoccurs is
BWWD\
k 2 NBk:Apply Murphy’s Law, Theorem 19.6.4, toBk.
(b)Conclude that PrŒonly finitely manyAn’s occurçD 0.Hint:LetCkbe the event that noAnwithnkoccurs. So the event that only
finitely manyAn’s occur is
CWWD
[
k 2 NCk:Apply part (a) toCk.
Problems for Section 19.7
Practice Problems
Problem 19.33.
LetRbe a positive integer valued random variable such that
PDFR.n/D1
cn^3;
where
cWWDX^1
nD 11
n^3:
(a)Prove that ExŒRçis finite.