Mathematics for Computer Science

(Frankie) #1

17.5. Linearity of Expectation 603


of meals until we get a new kind of car isn=.nk/by the Mean Time to Failure
rule. This means that
ExŒXkçD


n
nk

:


Linearity of expectation, together with this observation, solves the coupon col-

lector problem:


ExŒTçDExŒX 0 CX 1 CCXn 1 ç
DExŒX 0 çCExŒX 1 çCCExŒXn 1 ç

D

n
n 0

C


n
n 1

CC


n
3

C


n
2

C


n
1

Dn




1


n

C


1


n 1

CC


1


3


C


1


2


C


1


1





Dn




1


1


C


1


2


C


1


3


CC


1


n 1

C


1


n




DnHn (17.15)
nlnn:

Wow! It’s those Harmonic Numbers again!
We can use equation (17.15) to answer some concrete questions. For example,
the expected number of die rolls required to see every number from 1 to 6 is:


6H 6 D14:7::::

And the expected number of people you must poll to find at least one person with
each possible birthday is:


365H 365 D2364:6::::

17.5.5 Infinite Sums


Linearity of expectation also works for an infinite number of random variables
provided that the variables satisfy some stringent absolute convergence criteria.


Theorem 17.5.5(Linearity of Expectation).LetR 0 ,R 1 ,... , be random variables
such that 1
X


iD 0

ExŒjRijç
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