The Economist - USA (2021-11-13)

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TheEconomistNovember13th 2021
Economic& financial indicators

88


Economic data

Grossdomesticproduct Consumerprices Unemployment Current-account Budget Interestrates Currencyunits
% change on year ago % change on year ago rate balance balance 10-yr gov't bonds change on per $ % change
latest quarter* 2021† latest 2021† % % of GDP, 2021† % of GDP, 2021† latest,% year ago, bp Nov 10th on year ago
UnitedStates 4.9 Q3 2.0 5.5 6.2 Oct 4.4 4.6 Oct -3.4 -12.4 1.6 58.0 -
China 4.9 Q3 0.8 7.9 1.5 Oct 0.8 4.9 Sep‡§ 2.8 -4.9 2.7 §§ -36.0 6.39 3.3
Japan 7.6 Q2 1.9 2.3 0.2 Sep -0.2 2.8 Sep 3.0 -8.8 nil -8.0 114 -7.6
Britain 23.6 Q2 23.9 6.4 3.1 Sep 2.8 4.5 Jul†† -3.9 -10.9 0.8 50.0 0.74 1.4
Canada 12.7 Q2 -1.1 5.4 4.4 Sep 3.1 6.7 Oct -2.3 -9.5 1.7 93.0 1.24 4.8
Euroarea 3.7 Q3 9.1 4.9 4.1 Oct 2.2 7.4 Sep 3.1 -7.2 -0.2 25.0 0.87 -2.3
Austria 12.8 Q2 24.6 4.1 3.6 Oct 2.7 5.2 Sep 2.2 -7.4 nil 33.0 0.87 -2.3
Belgium 4.7 Q3 7.4 5.0 4.2 Oct 2.3 6.3 Sep 1.1 -7.1 nil 31.0 0.87 -2.3
France 3.3 Q3 12.6 6.1 2.6 Oct 1.9 7.7 Sep -1.5 -8.5 0.1 44.0 0.87 -2.3
Germany 2.5 Q3 7.3 3.1 4.5 Oct 2.9 3.4 Sep 6.9 -5.7 -0.2 25.0 0.87 -2.3
Greece 16.4 Q2 14.5 6.5 3.4 Oct 0.1 13.3 Sep -4.4 -9.6 1.1 20.0 0.87 -
Italy 3.8 Q3 10.8 6.0 2.9 Oct 1.6 9.2 Sep 3.8 -9.6 0.9 21.0 0.87 -
Netherlands 10.4 Q2 15.9 3.7 3.4 Oct 2.3 3.1 Sep 8.5 -5.2 -0.1 49.0 0.87 -
Spain 2.7 Q3 8.3 5.5 5.5 Oct 2.5 14.6 Sep 0.9 -8.9 0.4 32.0 0.87 -
CzechRepublic 8.8 Q2 5.7 3.4 5.8 Oct 3.6 2.7 Sep‡ 3.2 -8.3 2.8 161 21.9
Denmark 10.0 Q2 11.7 3.2 3.0 Oct 1.7 3.3 Sep 7.5 -0.3 nil 40.0 6.46 -
Norway 6.1 Q2 4.4 3.0 3.5 Oct 3.0 4.0 Aug‡‡ 6.9 -3.0 1.4 76.0 8.60 5.0
Poland 10.8 Q2 6.6 5.2 6.8 Oct 4.7 5.5 Oct§ 2.1 -6.7 2.9 165 4.01 -5.2
Russia 10.5 Q2 na 4.2 8.1 Oct 6.6 4.3 Sep§ 5.2 -0.7 8.0 186 71.0 7.7
Sweden 3.7 Q3 7.4 4.0 2.5 Sep 2.2 8.2 Sep§ 5.2 -1.9 0.2 20.0 8.67 -0.7
Switzerland 7.7 Q2 7.4 3.5 1.2 Oct 0.5 2.7 Oct 5.3 -3.8 -0.2 24.0 0.92 1
Turkey 21.7 Q2 na 8.0 19.9 Oct 17.1 11.1 Sep§ -3.0 -3.2 18.5 556 9.82 9
Australia 9.6 Q2 2.7 4.2 3.0 Q3 2.4 5.2 Oct 1.8 -5.9 1.7 81.0 1.36 7
HongKong 5.4 Q3 0.4 6.2 1.4 Sep 1.6 4.5 Sep‡‡ 3.0 -4.5 1.4 83.0 7.79 5
India 20.1 Q2 -41.2 8.2 4.3 Sep 5.0 7.8 Oct -0.9 -7.0 6.3 42.0 74.4 2
Indonesia 3.5 Q3 na 3.0 1.7 Oct 1.7 6.5 Q3§ -0.2 -6.0 6.1 -4.0 14,252 4
Malaysia 16.1 Q2 na 3.8 2.2 Sep 2.4 4.5 Sep§ 2.6 -6.0 3.5 86.0 4.15 -0.7
Pakistan 4.7 2021** na 3.8 9.2 Oct 9.2 6.9 2019 -4.4 -6.9 10.6 ††† 79.0 173 -8.2
Philippines 7.1 Q3 16.1 4.2 4.6 Oct 4.5 6.9 Q3§ -1.4 -7.5 5.0 200 50.1 -3.6
Singapore 6.5 Q3 3.4 6.1 2.5 Sep 1.9 2.6 Q3 18.1 -4.2 1.7 86.0 1.35 nil
SouthKorea 4.0 Q3 1.2 4.1 3.2 Oct 2.2 2.8 Oct§ 4.6 -4.4 2.3 69.0 1,181 -5.6
Taiwan 3.8 Q3 2.3 5.7 2.6 Oct 2.0 3.9 Sep 15.2 -1.2 0.6 25.0 27.8 2.7
Thailand 7.5 Q2 1.5 1.4 2.4 Oct 1.0 1.5 Dec§ -1.4 -7.8 1.7 49.0 32.8 -7.1
Argentina 17.9 Q2 -5.5 8.7 52.5 Sep 48.3 9.6 Q2§ 1.7 -4.6 na na 100 -20.7
Brazil 12.4 Q2 -0.2 5.0 10.7 Oct 8.0 13.2 Aug§‡‡ 0.5 -5.4 11.5 429 5.48 -2.4
Chile 18.1 Q2 4.2 11.0 6.0 Oct 4.3 8.4 Sep§‡‡ -1.8 -7.1 6.0 344 792 -4.0
Colombia 17.0 Q2 -9.2 9.8 4.6 Oct 3.4 12.1 Sep§ -4.1 -8.5 7.7 269 3,878 -5.8
Mexico 4.6 Q3 -0.8 6.4 6.2 Oct 5.3 3.9 Sep 1.8 -3.3 7.3 152 20.5 -0.2
Peru 41.9 Q2 3.5 12.6 5.8 Oct 4.2 10.1 Sep§ -3.4 -4.4 5.7 180 4.02 -9.7
Egypt 7.7 Q2 na 3.3 6.3 Oct 5.4 7.3 Q2§ -4.4 -8.0 na na 15.7 -0.4
Israel 17.5 Q2 16.6 6.1 2.5 Sep 1.7 5.2 Sep 4.3 -6.1 1.2 36.0 3.11 8.7
SaudiArabia -4.1 2020 na 2.2 0.6 Sep 3.1 6.6 Q2 4.6 -2.0 na na 3.75 nil
SouthAfrica 19.3 Q2 4.7 4.9 5.1 Sep 4.4 34.4 Q2§ 1.8 -8.5 9.4 56.0 15.4 1.8
Source: Haver Analytics. *% change on previous quarter, annual rate. †The Economist Intelligence Unit estimate/forecast. §Not seasonally adjusted. ‡New series. **Year ending June. ††Latest 3 months. ‡‡3-month moving
average. §§5-year yield. †††Dollar-denominated bonds.

Markets
%changeon: %changeon:
Index one Dec31st index one Dec31st
Inlocalcurrency Nov10th week 2020 Nov10th week 2020
UnitedStatesS&P 500 4,646.7 -0.3 23.7
UnitedStatesNAScomp 15,622.7 -1.2 21.2
ChinaShanghaiComp 3,492.5 -0.2 0.6
ChinaShenzhenComp 2,430.1 1.5 4.3
JapanNikkei 225 29,106.8 -1.4 6.1
JapanTopix 2,008.0 -1.2 11.3
BritainFTSE 100 7,340.2 1.3 13.6
CanadaS&PTSX 21,461.9 0.9 23.1
EuroareaEUROSTOXX 50 4,348.8 0.9 22.4
FranceCAC 40 7,045.2 1.4 26.9
GermanyDAX* 16,067.8 0.7 17.1
ItalyFTSE/MIB 27,561.0 0.7 24.0
NetherlandsAEX 814.6 -0.2 30.4
SpainIBEX 35 9,141.8 1.2 13.2
PolandWIG 72,794.9 -0.2 27.7
RussiaRTS,$ terms 1,853.6 1.5 33.6
SwitzerlandSMI 12,401.4 0.1 15.9
Tu r ke yBIST 1,624.1 5.0 10.0
AustraliaAllOrd. 7,737.4 0.3 12.9
HongKongHangSeng 24,996.1 -0.1 -8.2
IndiaBSE 60,352.8 1.0 26.4
IndonesiaIDX 6,683.1 2.0 11.8
MalaysiaKLSE 1,520.7 -0.7 -6.5

PakistanKSE 46,629.9 -0.9 6.6
SingaporeSTI 3,231.3 0.4 13.6
SouthKoreaKOSPI 2,930.2 -1.5 2.0
TaiwanTWI 17,559.7 2.6 19.2
ThailandSET 1,630.5 1.2 12.5
ArgentinaMERV 95,130.6 3.3 85.7
BrazilBVSP 105,967.5 0.3 -11.0
MexicoIPC 51,704.4 -0.3 17.3
EgyptEGX 30 11,480.5 -1.8 5.9
IsraelTA-125 1,966.2 nil 25.4
SaudiArabiaTadawul 11,857.5 1.5 36.5
SouthAfricaJSEAS 68,279.4 -0.4 14.9
World,dev'dMSCI 3,201.6 -0.3 19.0
EmergingmarketsMSCI 1,274.4 0.9 -1.3

UScorporatebonds,spreadoverTreasuries
Dec31st
Basispoints latest 2020
Investmentgrade 111 136
High-yield 330 429
Sources:RefinitivDatastream;Standard& Poor'sGlobalFixedIncome
Research.*Totalreturnindex.

Commodities
The Economist commodity-price index %changeon
2015=100 Nov 2nd Nov 9th* month year
Dollar Index
All Items 149.4 145.9 -7.7 10.9
Food 133.1 131.0 2.6 20.4
Industrials
All 164.6 159.8 -14.2 4.6
Non-food agriculturals 146.8 144.0 -3.8 34.1
Metals 169.9 164.6 -16.6 -1.1
Sterling Index
All items 167.5 164.4 -7.3 8.4
Euro Index
All items 143.1 139.7 -7.9 13.1
Gold
$ per oz 1,789.1 1,824.0 3.4 -3.2
Brent
$ per barrel 84.6 84.9 1.6 94.2
Sources: Bloomberg; CME Group; Cotlook; Refinitiv Datastream;
Fastmarkets; FT; ICCO; ICO; ISO; Live Rice Index; LME; NZ Wool
Services; Thompson Lloyd & Ewart; Urner Barry; WSJ. *Provisional.

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