The Economist - UK (2021-11-20)

(Antfer) #1
TheEconomistNovember20th 2021
Economic& financial indicators

90


Economic data

Grossdomesticproduct Consumerprices Unemployment Current-account Budget Interestrates Currencyunits
% change on year ago % change on year ago rate balance balance 10-yr gov't bonds change on per $ % change
latest quarter* 2021† latest 2021† % % of GDP, 2021† % of GDP, 2021† latest,% year ago, bp Nov 17th on year ago
UnitedStates 4.9 Q3 2.0 5.5 6.2 Oct 4.4 4.6 Oct -3.4 -12.4 1.6 73.0 -
China 4.9 Q3 0.8 7.9 1.5 Oct 0.8 4.9 Oct‡§ 2.8 -4.9 2.7 §§ -39.0 6.38 2.8
Japan 1.4 Q3 -3.0 2.3 0.2 Sep -0.2 2.8 Sep 3.0 -8.8 nil -8.0 115 -9.0
Britain 6.6 Q3 5.1 6.4 4.2 Oct 2.8 4.3 Aug†† -3.9 -10.9 1.0 56.0 0.74 1.4
Canada 12.7 Q2 -1.1 5.4 4.7 Oct 3.1 6.7 Oct -2.3 -9.5 1.7 100 1.26 4.0
Euroarea 3.7 Q3 9.3 4.9 4.1 Oct 2.2 7.4 Sep 3.1 -7.2 -0.2 31.0 0.88 -4.5
Austria 12.8 Q2 24.6 4.1 3.7 Oct 2.7 5.2 Sep 2.2 -7.4 nil 41.0 0.88 -4.5
Belgium 4.7 Q3 7.4 5.0 4.2 Oct 2.3 6.3 Sep 1.1 -7.1 0.1 45.0 0.88 -4.5
France 3.3 Q3 12.6 6.7 2.6 Oct 2.1 7.7 Sep -1.3 -8.9 0.1 43.0 0.88 -4.5
Germany 2.5 Q3 7.3 2.8 4.5 Oct 3.0 3.4 Sep 7.0 -6.2 -0.2 31.0 0.88 -
Greece 16.4 Q2 14.5 6.5 3.4 Oct 0.1 13.3 Sep -4.4 -9.6 1.2 46.0 0.88 -
Italy 3.8 Q3 10.8 6.0 3.0 Oct 1.6 9.2 Sep 3.8 -9.6 1.0 38.0 0.88 -
Netherlands 5.0 Q3 8.0 3.7 3.4 Oct 2.3 3.1 Sep 8.5 -5.2 -0.1 49.0 0.88 -
Spain 2.7 Q3 8.3 5.5 5.4 Oct 2.5 14.6 Sep 0.9 -8.9 0.5 37.0 0.88 -
CzechRepublic 8.8 Q2 5.7 3.0 5.8 Oct 3.8 2.7 Sep‡ 3.2 -8.3 2.8 164 22.3
Denmark 10.0 Q2 8.2 3.2 3.0 Oct 1.7 3.3 Sep 7.5 -0.3 nil 49.0 6.58 -
Norway 6.1 Q2 4.4 3.0 3.5 Oct 3.0 4.0 Aug‡‡ 6.9 -3.0 1.4 76.0 8.74 3.8
Poland 10.8 Q2 8.7 5.2 6.8 Oct 4.7 5.5 Oct§ 2.1 -6.7 3.1 195 4.12 -8.2
Russia 4.3 Q3 na 4.2 8.1 Oct 6.6 4.3 Sep§ 5.2 -0.7 8.2 212 72.4 5.4
Sweden 3.7 Q3 7.4 4.0 2.8 Oct 2.2 8.2 Sep§ 5.2 -1.9 0.3 30.0 8.87
Switzerland 7.7 Q2 7.4 3.5 1.2 Oct 0.5 2.7 Oct 5.3 -3.8 -0.1 36.0 0.93
Turkey 21.7 Q2 na 8.0 19.9 Oct 17.1 11.1 Sep§ -3.0 -3.2 18.9 698 10.6
Australia 9.6 Q2 2.7 4.2 3.0 Q3 2.6 5.2 Oct 4.1 -5.8 1.9 90.0 1.37
HongKong 5.4 Q3 0.5 6.2 1.4 Sep 1.6 4.3 Oct‡‡ 3.0 -4.5 1.5 80.0 7.79
India 20.1 Q2 -41.2 8.2 4.5 Oct 5.0 7.8 Oct -0.9 -7.0 6.4 48.0 74.3
Indonesia 3.5 Q3 na 3.1 1.7 Oct 1.6 6.5 Q3§ -0.1 -6.0 6.2 4.0 14,242
Malaysia -4.5 Q3 na 3.8 2.2 Sep 2.4 4.5 Sep§ 2.7 -6.0 3.6 90.0 4.18 -1.9
Pakistan 4.7 2021** na 3.8 9.2 Oct 9.2 6.9 2019 -4.5 -6.9 10.8 ††† 101 174 -8.9
Philippines 7.1 Q3 16.1 4.2 4.6 Oct 4.5 6.9 Q3§ -1.4 -7.5 5.1 203 50.4 -4.2
Singapore 6.5 Q3 3.4 6.1 2.5 Sep 1.9 2.6 Q3 18.1 -4.2 1.8 83.0 1.36 -1.5
SouthKorea 4.0 Q3 1.2 4.1 3.2 Oct 2.2 2.8 Oct§ 4.6 -4.4 2.4 74.0 1,182 -6.4
Taiwan 3.8 Q3 2.3 5.7 2.6 Oct 2.0 3.9 Sep 15.2 -1.2 0.6 30.0 27.8 2.5
Thailand -0.3 Q3 -4.2 1.4 2.4 Oct 1.0 1.5 Dec§ -1.4 -7.8 1.8 64.0 32.7 -7.8
Argentina 17.9 Q2 -5.5 8.7 52.1 Oct 48.3 9.6 Q2§ 1.7 -4.6 na na 100 -20.3
Brazil 12.4 Q2 -0.2 5.0 10.7 Oct 8.2 13.2 Aug§‡‡ 0.5 -6.1 11.8 433 5.50 -2.5
Chile 18.1 Q2 4.2 11.0 6.0 Oct 4.3 8.4 Sep§‡‡ -1.8 -7.1 5.8 316 823 -6.9
Colombia 12.9 Q3 24.9 9.8 4.6 Oct 3.4 12.1 Sep§ -4.1 -8.5 7.9 293 3,908 -7.0
Mexico 4.6 Q3 -0.8 6.2 6.2 Oct 5.5 3.9 Sep 1.7 -3.3 7.5 168 20.7 -1.8
Peru 41.9 Q2 3.5 12.6 5.8 Oct 4.2 8.6 Oct§ -3.4 -4.4 5.8 160 4.00 -9.5
Egypt 7.7 Q2 na 3.3 6.3 Oct 5.7 7.5 Q3§ -4.3 -8.0 na na 15.7 -0.6
Israel 4.1 Q3 2.4 6.1 2.3 Oct 1.7 5.2 Sep 4.3 -6.1 1.1 33.0 3.08 8.8
SaudiArabia -4.1 2020 na 2.2 0.8 Oct 3.1 6.6 Q2 4.6 -2.0 na na 3.75 nil
SouthAfrica 19.3 Q2 4.7 4.9 5.1 Oct 4.4 34.4 Q2§ 1.8 -8.5 9.5 62.0 15.5 -0.5
Source: Haver Analytics. *% change on previous quarter, annual rate. †The Economist Intelligence Unit estimate/forecast. §Not seasonally adjusted. ‡New series. **Year ending June. ††Latest 3 months. ‡‡3-month moving
average. §§5-year yield. †††Dollar-denominated bonds.

Markets
%changeon: %changeon:
Index one Dec31st index one Dec31st
Inlocalcurrency Nov17th week 2020 Nov17th week 2020
UnitedStatesS&P 500 4,688.7 0.9 24.8
UnitedStatesNAScomp 15,921.6 1.9 23.5
ChinaShanghaiComp 3,537.4 1.3 1.9
ChinaShenzhenComp 2,477.0 1.9 6.3
JapanNikkei 225 29,688.3 2.0 8.2
JapanTopix 2,038.3 1.5 12.9
BritainFTSE 100 7,291.2 -0.7 12.9
CanadaS&PTSX 21,653.0 0.9 24.2
EuroareaEUROSTOXX 50 4,400.8 1.2 23.9
FranceCAC 40 7,156.9 1.6 28.9
GermanyDAX* 16,251.1 1.1 18.5
ItalyFTSE/MIB 27,824.9 1.0 25.2
NetherlandsAEX 827.6 1.6 32.5
SpainIBEX 35 8,993.4 -1.6 11.4
PolandWIG 71,522.5 -1.7 25.4
RussiaRTS,$ terms 1,802.5 -2.8 29.9
SwitzerlandSMI 12,600.2 1.6 17.7
Tu r ke yBIST 1,707.0 5.1 15.6
AustraliaAllOrd. 7,704.0 -0.4 12.5
HongKongHangSeng 25,650.1 2.6 -5.8
IndiaBSE 60,008.3 -0.6 25.7
IndonesiaIDX 6,675.8 -0.1 11.7
MalaysiaKLSE 1,525.1 0.3 -6.3

PakistanKSE 46,194.4 -0.9 5.6
SingaporeSTI 3,232.7 nil 13.7
SouthKoreaKOSPI 2,962.4 1.1 3.1
TaiwanTWI 17,764.0 1.2 20.6
ThailandSET 1,644.6 0.9 13.5
ArgentinaMERV 87,541.8 -8.0 70.9
BrazilBVSP 102,948.4 -2.8 -13.5
MexicoIPC 51,045.1 -1.3 15.8
EgyptEGX 30 11,453.3 -0.2 5.6
IsraelTA-125 1,980.8 0.7 26.3
SaudiArabiaTadawul 11,833.5 -0.2 36.2
SouthAfricaJSEAS 70,942.3 3.9 19.4
World,dev'dMSCI 3,221.0 0.6 19.7
EmergingmarketsMSCI 1,286.9 1.0 -0.3

UScorporatebonds,spreadoverTreasuries
Dec31st
Basispoints latest 2020
Investmentgrade 113 136
High-yield 327 429
Sources:RefinitivDatastream;Standard& Poor'sGlobalFixedIncome
Research.*Totalreturnindex.

Commodities
The Economist commodity-price index %changeon
2015=100 Nov 9th Nov 16th* month year
Dollar Index
All Items 145.9 148.7 -7.6 10.4
Food 131.0 135.7 4.3 22.2
Industrials
All 159.9 160.8 -15.2 2.6
Non-food agriculturals 144.0 148.2 -1.6 34.2
Metals 164.6 164.5 -18.2 -3.5
Sterling Index
All items 164.4 169.1 -5.0 9.0
Euro Index
All items 139.7 145.3 -5.2 15.5
Gold
$ per oz 1,824.0 1,861.3 5.0 -1.4
Brent
$ per barrel 84.9 82.6 -3.1 88.4
Sources: Bloomberg; CME Group; Cotlook; Refinitiv Datastream;
Fastmarkets; FT; ICCO; ICO; ISO; Live Rice Index; LME; NZ Wool
Services; Thompson Lloyd & Ewart; Urner Barry; WSJ. *Provisional.

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