PART THREE
Contents vii
- CHAPTER Background Material
- Introduction
- The CAPM Model
- Market Neutral Strategy
- Pairs Trading
- Outline
- Audience
- CHAPTER
- Time Series
- Overview
- Autocorrelation
- Time Series Models
- Forecasting
- Goodness of Fit versus Bias
- Model Choice
- Modeling Stock Prices
- CHAPTER
- Factor Models
- Introduction
- Arbitrage Pricing Theory
- The Covariance Matrix
- Application: Calculating the Risk on a Portfolio
- Application: Calculation of Portfolio Beta
- Application: Tracking Basket Design
- Sensitivity Analysis
- CHAPTER
- Kalman Filtering
- Introduction
- The Kalman Filter
- The Scalar Kalman Filter
- Filtering the Random Walk
- Application: Example with the Standard & Poor Index
- CHAPTER Statistical Arbitrage Pairs
- Overview
- History
- Motivation
- Cointegration
- Applying the Model
- A Trading Strategy
- Road Map for Strategy Design
- CHAPTER
- Pairs Selection in Equity Markets
- Introduction
- Common Trends Cointegration Model
- Common Trends Model and APT
- The Distance Measure
- Interpreting the Distance Measure
- Reconciling Theory and Practice
- CHAPTER
- Testing for Tradability
- Introduction
- The Linear Relationship
- Approach Estimating the Linear Relationship: The Multifactor
- Estimating the Linear Relationship: The Regression Approach
- Testing Residual for Tradability
- CHAPTER
- Trading Design
- Introduction
- Band Design for White Noise
- Spread Dynamics
- Nonparametric Approach
- Regularization
- Tying Up Loose Ends
- CHAPTER Risk Arbitrage Pairs
- Risk Arbitrage Mechanics
- Introduction
- History
- The Deal Process
- Transaction Terms
- The Deal Spread
- Trading Strategy
- Quantitative Aspects
- CHAPTER
- Trade Execution
- Introduction
- Specifying the Order
- Verifying the Execution
- Execution During the Pricing Period
- Short Selling
- CHAPTER
- The Market Implied Merger Probability
- Introduction
- Implied Probabilities and Arrow-Debreu Theory
- The Single-Step Model
- The Multistep Model
- Reconciling Theory and Practice
- Risk Management
- CHAPTER
- Spread Inversion
- Introduction
- The Prediction Equation
- The Observation Equation