New Scientist - USA (2021-12-11)

(Maropa) #1

46 | New Scientist | 11 December 2021


Features Interview


How to be


more rational


To explain the paradox of why a smart species


embraces so much codswallop, we need


to rethink rationality, as Steven Pinker


tells New Scientist


H


UMANITY faces some huge
challenges, from the coronavirus
pandemic and climate change to
fundamentalism, inequality, racism and
war. Now, more than ever, we need to think
clearly to come up with solutions. But instead,
conspiracy theories abound, fake news is
in vogue and belief in the paranormal is as
strong as ever. It seems that we are suffering
from a collective failure of rationality.
Steven Pinker doesn’t buy into this
disheartening conclusion. In his new book,
Rationality: What it is, why it seems scarce,
why it matters, the Harvard University
psychologist challenges the orthodoxy
that sees Homo sapiens as a species stuck
in the past, with an ancient brain fuelled
by biases, fallacies and illusions, incapable
of understanding the complexities of the
modern world.
History, he argues, refutes that. After all,
humans have built civilisations, discovered
the laws of nature, vanquished diseases and
identified the building blocks of rationality
itself. Ours isn’t an innately irrational species,
says Pinker. However, we don’t embrace our

rational side as much as we might. With more
insight into the human mind, we can learn
to change that – and master an underused
resource that will help us tackle the challenges
of the 21st century and beyond.

New Scientist: What do you mean by rationality?
Steven Pinker: I define it as the use of
knowledge to attain goals. There is not one
single tool of rationality – it depends what
you’re after. If you’re seeking to derive new
true statements from existing ones, then
logic is your tool. If you want to assess your
degree of belief in a hypothesis based on
evidence, then Bayesian reasoning. If you
want to figure out what’s the rational thing
to do when the outcome depends on what
other rational people do, game theory.

Those tools don’t seem to come naturally
to people, yet you reject the idea that human
cognition is a heffalump trap of biases and
delusions that are a legacy of our evolution. Why?
Yeah, I don’t think it’s quite right. Although
there’s no question we do have outbursts of
irrationality – and they are all too plentiful –

I’m not ready to write off our species as
irrational. We can all be rational when it comes
to our immediate surroundings and outcomes
that affect our lives. And if you’re upset about
some outbursts of irrationality, don’t blame
hunter-gatherers. I begin the book with a
description of how the San people of the
Kalahari desert deploy rationality to engage
in pursuit hunting, where they’ve got to figure
out where the antelope may have run based
on some fragmentary tracks on the ground.
They engage in some pretty sophisticated
inference. They wouldn’t survive if they didn’t.
All of us command some aspect of
rationality. In our everyday lives we package
it with subject-matter knowledge in particular
areas – bringing up the kids, holding down
a job, getting food in the fridge. What we
don’t wield are tools that can be applied to
any subject matter: calculating probability,
distinguishing correlation from causation,
Bayesian reasoning, statistical decision
theory. Those come less naturally to us.
And when it comes to issues that are larger
than our day-to-day physical existence,
people don’t necessarily hew to the mindset
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