Begin2.DVI

(Ben Green) #1
shape of the original distribution being sampled. The normal distribution is also

related to least-square estimation. It is also used as the theoretical basis for the

chi-square, student-t and F-distributions. The normal distribution is used in many

Monte Carlo simulation computer programs.

The Binomial Distribution


The binomial probability distribution is given by

b(x;n, p) = f(x) =

{(n
x

)
pxqn−x, x = 0, 1 , 2 ,.. ., n

0 , otherwise

q= 1 −p (11 .62)

It is a discrete probability distribution with parameters nand pwhere nrepresents

the number of trials and p represents the probability of success in a single trial

with q= 1 −pthe probability of failure in a single trial. For large values of nthe

binomial distribution approaches the normal distribution. In equation (11.62), the

function f(x)represents the probability of xsuccesses and n−xfailures in n-trials.

The cumulative probabilities are given by

F(x) = B(x;n, p) =

∑x

k=0

b(k;n, p), for x= 0, 1 , 2 ,... , n (11 .63)

As an exercise verify that

b(x;n, p) = b(n−x;n, 1 −p), B (x;n, p) = 1 −B(n−x−1;n, 1 −p) (11 .64)

The binomial probability law , sometimes called the Bernoulli distribution , occurs

in those application areas where one of two possible outcomes can result in a single

trial. For example, (yes, no), (success, failure), (left, right), (on, off), (defective,

nondefective), etc. For example, if there are ddefective items in a bin of N items

and an item is selected at random from the bin, then the probability of obtaining

a defective item in a single trial is p=d/N. The binomial probability distribution

involves sampling with replacement. Consequently, each time a sample of nitems

is selected from the bin containing Nitems, the probability of obtaining xdefective

items is given by equation (11.62) with p=d/N and q= 1 −d/N.

In the equation (11.62), the term

(
n
x

)
= n!
x!(n−x)!

,

(
n
0

)

= 1, and

(
0
0

)
= 1 (11 .65)
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