Begin2.DVI

(Ben Green) #1

The Poisson Distribution


The Poisson probability distribution has the form

f(x;λ) = P(X=x) =

λxe−λ
x! , x = 0,^1 ,^2 ,^3 ,... (11 .69)

with parameter λ > 0. Here xis an integer which can increase without bound. The

Poisson probability distribution has the following properties,

1.

∑∞

x=0

λxe−λ
x! =e

−λ

(
1 + λ+

λ^2
2! +

λ^3
3! +···

)
=e−λeλ= 1

2. mean= μ=λ

3. variance σ^2 =λ

The cumulative probability function is given by

F(x;λ) =

∑x

k=0

f(k;λ) (11 .70)

The Poisson distribution occurs in application areas which record isolated events

over a period of time. For example, the number of cars entering an intersection in

a ten minute interval, the number of telephone lines in use during different periods

of the day, the number of customers waiting in line, the life expectancy of a light

bulb, the number of transistors that fail in one year, etc.

The figure 11-11 illustrates the Poisson distribution for the parameter values

λ= 1 / 2 , 1 , 2 and 3.

Figure 11-11. Selected Poisson distributions for λ=^12 , 1 , 2 , 3.

In general, the Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution used to

determine the number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time.
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