Mathematics and Economics

(Michael S) #1
Uncertainty and Probability Optimal Stopping Rules

Monotonicity and Stochastic Dominance


Suppose that (Yt) are iid underP∗∈Pand
for allP∈P

P∗[Yt≤x]≥P[Yt≤x] (x∈R)
and suppose that the payoffXt=g(t,Yt) for a functiongthat is
isotone iny,
thenP∗isfor all optimal stopping problems(Xt) theworst–case
measure,
i.e. the robust optimal stopping rule is the optimal stopping rule
underP∗.
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