Mathematics and Economics

(Michael S) #1
Uncertainty and Probability Secretary Problem

Ambiguous Secretary Problem


we need a time–consistent multiple prior version of the model
allow all priors with

P[Yn= 1|Y 1 ,...,Yn− 1 ]∈[an,bn]
for numbers 0≤an≤bn≤ 1
model of independent, but ambiguous experiments
payoffZn= 1 ifYn= 1,Yn+1=...=YN= 0
maxτinfPEPZτ
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