Three Leading Questions

Three Leading Doubts: Details ctd.

Probability?

Option Pricing based on probability theory assumptionsisextremely

successful

some blame mathematicians for financial crisis – nonsense, but

does probability theory apply to single events like

“Greece is going bankrupt in 2012”

“SF Giants win the World Series”

“med–in–Form in Bielefeld wird profitabel”

Ellsberg experiments