The Economist - USA (2021-12-18)

(Antfer) #1
The EconomistDecember 18th 2021
Economic & financial indicators

68


Economic data

Gross domestic product Consumer prices Unemployment Current-account Budget Interest rates Currency units
% change on year ago % change on year ago rate balance balance 10-yr gov't bonds change on per $ % change
latest quarter* 2021† latest 2021† % % of GDP, 2021† % of GDP, 2021† latest,% year ago, bp Dec 15th on year ago
United States 4.9 Q3 2.1 5.5 6.8 Nov 4.4 4.2 Nov -3.4 -12.4 1.5 55.0 -
China 4.9 Q3 0.8 7.9 2.3 Nov 0.9 5.0 Nov‡§ 2.4 -4.9 2.7 §§ -41.0 6.36 3.0
Japan 1.2 Q3 -3.6 2.1 0.1 Oct -0.2 2.7 Oct 3.3 -8.9 nil -8.0 114 -8.9
Britain 6.6 Q3 5.1 6.7 5.1 Nov 2.7 4.2 Sep†† -2.8 -10.9 0.7 51.0 0.76 -1.3
Canada 4.0 Q3 5.4 5.0 4.7 Nov 3.2 6.0 Nov 0.8 -9.5 1.4 68.0 1.29 -1.6
Euro area 3.9 Q3 9.1 4.9 4.9 Nov 2.4 7.3 Oct 3.1 -7.2 -0.3 26.0 0.89 -7.9
Austria 5.7 Q3 14.6 4.7 4.3 Nov 2.7 5.8 Oct 2.0 -5.8 -0.1 36.0 0.89 -7.9
Belgium 4.9 Q3 8.4 5.2 5.6 Nov 2.8 6.3 Oct 1.7 -6.6 nil 39.0 0.89 -7.9
France 3.3 Q3 12.6 6.7 2.8 Nov 2.1 7.6 Oct -1.3 -8.9 nil 35.0 0.89 -7.9
Germany 2.6 Q3 6.9 2.7 5.2 Nov 3.0 3.3 Oct 6.5 -6.2 -0.3 26.0 0.89 -7.9
Greece 13.7 Q3 11.3 6.5 4.8 Nov 0.1 12.9 Oct -4.4 -9.6 1.2 68.0 0.89 -
Italy 3.9 Q3 11.0 6.3 3.7 Nov 1.9 9.4 Oct 3.8 -9.6 0.9 44.0 0.89 -
Netherlands 5.0 Q3 8.0 4.3 5.2 Nov 2.7 2.9 Oct 7.9 -4.7 -0.3 21.0 0.89 -
Spain 2.7 Q3 8.3 4.4 5.5 Nov 2.7 14.5 Oct 1.1 -8.4 0.3 33.0 0.89 -
Czech Republic 2.8 Q3 6.1 3.0 6.0 Nov 3.8 2.6 Oct‡ 3.2 -8.3 2.8 146 22.4 -
Denmark 3.6 Q3 3.5 3.2 3.4 Nov 1.7 3.1 Oct 7.5 -0.3 -0.1 40.0 6.61 -
Norway 5.1 Q3 16.1 4.0 5.1 Nov 3.3 3.6 Sep‡‡ 12.5 0.4 1.4 76.0 9.11 -4.1
Poland 5.5 Q3 9.5 5.1 7.8 Nov 4.9 5.4 Nov§ 1.1 -5.8 3.2 196 4.11 -11.2
Russia 4.3 Q3 na 4.2 8.4 Nov 6.7 4.3 Oct§ 5.3 -0.5 8.6 240 74.1 -0.7
Sweden 4.5 Q3 8.2 4.1 3.3 Nov 2.2 7.6 Oct§ 4.9 -1.9 0.1 16.0 9.13 -8.2
Switzerland 4.1 Q3 6.8 3.6 1.5 Nov 0.5 2.5 Nov 5.4 -3.8 -0.3 27.0 0.93 3
Turkey 7.4 Q3 na 8.0 21.3 Nov 18.1 10.7 Oct§ -2.8 -3.1 21.0 805 14.8 9
Australia 3.9 Q3 -7.5 3.8 3.0 Q3 2.7 4.6 Nov 4.1 -5.8 1.6 59.0 1.40 0
Hong Kong 5.4 Q3 0.5 6.5 1.8 Oct 1.6 4.3 Oct‡‡ 4.0 -4.6 1.4 67.0 7.80 6
India 8.4 Q3 54.1 9.2 4.9 Nov 5.0 7.0 Nov -0.8 -7.0 6.4 42.0 76.2 4
Indonesia 3.5 Q3 na 3.1 1.7 Nov 1.7 6.5 Q3§ -0.1 -6.0 6.4 30.0 14,333 5
Malaysia -4.5 Q3 na 3.0 2.9 Oct 2.3 4.3 Oct§ 3.5 -6.5 3.6 80.0 4.23 -4.3
Pakistan 4.7 2021** na 3.8 11.5 Nov 9.2 6.9 2019 -4.5 -6.9 11.9 ††† 199 178 -9.8
Philippines 7.1 Q3 16.1 4.8 4.2 Nov 4.5 7.4 Q4§ -2.0 -7.5 4.8 177 50.3 -4.4
Singapore 7.1 Q3 5.2 6.8 3.2 Oct 2.0 2.6 Q3 18.1 -4.2 1.6 72.0 1.37 -2.9
South Korea 4.0 Q3 1.3 4.1 3.7 Nov 2.2 2.6 Nov§ 4.6 -4.4 2.2 50.0 1,185 -7.8
Taiwan 3.7 Q3 1.1 5.7 2.8 Nov 2.0 3.8 Oct 14.7 -1.6 0.6 29.0 27.8 1.2
Thailand -0.3 Q3 -4.2 1.3 2.7 Nov 1.2 1.5 Dec§ -2.4 -7.7 1.7 51.0 33.4 -10.1
Argentina 17.9 Q2 -5.5 9.5 51.2 Nov 48.5 9.6 Q2§ 1.7 -4.6 na na 102 -18.9
Brazil 4.0 Q3 -0.4 4.8 10.7 Nov 8.3 12.6 Sep§‡‡ 0.4 -6.0 10.6 324 5.73 -11.0
Chile 17.2 Q3 21.0 11.0 6.7 Nov 4.3 8.1 Oct§‡‡ -1.8 -7.1 5.7 295 849 -13.3
Colombia 12.9 Q3 24.9 9.8 5.3 Nov 3.4 11.8 Oct§ -5.3 -8.5 8.1 315 3,976 -14.0
Mexico 4.5 Q3 -1.7 6.1 7.4 Nov 5.6 3.9 Oct 1.7 -3.3 7.4 197 21.2 -5.3
Peru 11.4 Q3 15.0 14.7 5.7 Nov 3.9 8.6 Nov§ -2.4 -4.0 5.9 225 4.06 -11.6
Egypt 7.7 Q2 na 3.3 5.5 Nov 5.7 7.5 Q3§ -4.3 -8.0 na na 15.7 -0.2
Israel 4.1 Q3 2.4 6.1 2.4 Nov 1.6 5.0 Oct 5.1 -5.5 1.0 13.0 3.14 3.8
Saudi Arabia -4.1 2020 na 2.9 1.1 Nov 3.1 6.6 Q2 4.6 -2.0 na na 3.75 nil
South Africa 2.9 Q3 -5.8 4.9 5.5 Nov 4.5 34.9 Q3§ 2.7 -8.0 9.4 68.0 16.2 -7.9
Source: Haver Analytics. *% change on previous quarter, annual rate. †The Economist Intelligence Unit estimate/forecast. §Not seasonally adjusted. ‡New series. **Year ending June. ††Latest 3 months. ‡‡3-month moving
average. §§5-year yield. †††Dollar-denominated bonds.

Markets
% change on: % change on:
Index one Dec 31st index one Dec 31st
In local currency Dec 15th week 2020 Dec 15th week 2020
United StatesS&P 500 4,709.9 0.2 25.4
United StatesNAScomp 15,565.6 -1.4 20.8
ChinaShanghai Comp 3,647.6 0.3 5.0
ChinaShenzhen Comp 2,543.5 0.9 9.2
JapanNikkei 225 28,459.7 -1.4 3.7
JapanTopix 1,984.1 -0.9 9.9
BritainFTSE 100 7,170.8 -2.3 11.0
CanadaS&P TSX 20,769.2 -1.5 19.1
Euro areaEURO STOXX 50 4,159.7 -1.7 17.1
FranceCAC 40 6,927.6 -1.2 24.8
GermanyDAX* 15,476.4 -1.3 12.8
ItalyFTSE/MIB 26,666.1 -0.3 19.9
NetherlandsAEX 775.5 -2.8 24.2
SpainIBEX 35 8,275.0 -2.4 2.5
PolandWIG 66,570.6 -3.1 16.7
RussiaRTS, $ terms 1,541.0 -4.4 11.1
SwitzerlandSMI 12,531.0 -0.5 17.1
Tu r ke yBIST 2,162.3 7.9 46.4
AustraliaAll Ord. 7,636.2 -0.9 11.5
Hong KongHang Seng 23,420.8 -2.4 -14.0
IndiaBSE 57,788.0 -1.5 21.0
IndonesiaIDX 6,626.3 0.3 10.8
MalaysiaKLSE 1,482.8 -0.8 -8.9

PakistanKSE 44,366.9 1.2 1.4
SingaporeSTI 3,114.9 -0.5 9.5
South KoreaKOSPI 2,989.4 -0.4 4.0
TaiwanTWI 17,660.1 -1.0 19.9
ThailandSET 1,623.7 0.3 12.0
ArgentinaMERV 80,939.4 -9.3 58.0
BrazilBVSP 107,431.2 -0.6 -9.7
MexicoIPC 51,163.7 0.2 16.1
EgyptEGX 30 11,622.1 1.5 7.2
IsraelTA-125 1,969.7 -1.3 25.6
Saudi ArabiaTadawul 11,143.4 1.4 28.2
South AfricaJSE AS 71,467.2 -1.3 20.3
World, dev'dMSCI 3,175.1 -0.7 18.0
Emerging marketsMSCI 1,214.5 -2.1 -5.9

US corporate bonds,spread over Treasuries
Dec 31st
Basis points latest 2020
Investment grade 122 136
High-yield 349 429
Sources: Refinitiv Datastream; Standard & Poor's Global Fixed Income
Research. *Total return index.

Commodities
The Economist commodity-price index % change on
2015=100 Dec 7th Dec 14th* month year
Dollar Index
All Items 155.7 156.1 5.0 5.9
Food 136.1 136.1 0.3 21.8
Industrials
All 173.9 174.9 8.7 -3.3
Non-food agriculturals 153.8 159.4 7.5 30.4
Metals 179.9 179.5 9.1 -9.5
Sterling Index
All items 179.5 180.1 6.5 7.2
Euro Index
All items 153.5 153.6 5.7 14.1
Gold
$ per oz 1,783.1 1,775.3 -4.6 -3.9
Brent
$ per barrel 75.5 73.7 -10.8 45.0
Sources: Bloomberg; CME Group; Cotlook; Refinitiv Datastream;
Fastmarkets; FT; ICCO; ICO; ISO; Live Rice Index; LME; NZ Wool
Services; Thompson Lloyd & Ewart; Urner Barry; WSJ. *Provisional.

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