00Thaler_FM i-xxvi.qxd

(Nora) #1

Table


14.3


Momentum Strategies, 1/1980–12/1996: Using Raw Returns and Sorting by Size and Residual Analyst Coverage

This table includes only stocks above the NYSE/AMEX 20th percentile. The relative momentum portfolios are formed based on six-month lagged raw returns and held for six months. The stocks are ranked in ascending order on the basis of six-month lagged ret

urns.

Portfolio P1 is an equally weighted portfolio of stocks in the worst performing 30%, portfolio P2 includes the middle 40%, and

portfo-

lio P3 includes the best performing 30%. This table reports the average monthly returns to portfolios formed by sorts on size a

nd analyst

coverage residuals of log size and a NASDAQ dummy. Size is sorted using NYSE/AMEX breakpoints. The least covered firms are inSub1, the medium covered firms in Sub2, the most covered firms in Sub3. Mean (median) size is in millions. T-stats are in parenth

eses.

Size Class:

Residual
Coverage Class

1:20th–40th Percentile

2:40th–60th Percentile

3:60th–80th Percentile

4:80th–100th Percentile

Low:Sub1

P3


P1

=

.01511 (6.46)

P3


P1

=

.01057 (4.49)

P3


P1

=.00605.(3.11) P3


P1

=.00092 (0.49)

Mean Size

=

63 Mean Size

=

199 Mean Size

=

653 Mean Size

=

5056

Median Size

=

59 Median Size

=

183

Median Size

=

592 Median Size

=

2363

Median Coverage

=

0.0

Median Coverage

=

0.6

Median Coverage

=

3.7

Median Coverage

=

11.1

Medium:Sub2

P3


P1

=

0.01389 (5.48)

P3


P1

=

0.00975 (4.95)

P3


P1

=

0.00316 (1.62)

P3


P1

=

0.00009 (0.05)

Mean Size

=

61 Mean Size

=

207 Mean Size

=

678 Mean Size

=

5163

Median Size

=

56 Median Size

=

193 Median Size

=

629 Median Size

=

2853

Median Coverage

=

0.9

Median Coverage

=

3.6

Median Coverage

=

9.0

Median Coverage

=

18.8

High:Sub3

P3


P1

=

0.01147 (5.10)

P3


P1

=

0.00730 (3.60)

P3


P1

=

0.00424 (2.02)

P3


P1

=

0.00070 (0.33)

Mean Size

=

64 Mean Size

=

202 Mean Size

=

663 Mean Size

=

3650

Median Size

=

61 Median Size

=

188 Median Size

=

615 Median Size

=

2511

Median Coverage

=

3.1

Median Coverage

=

7.6

Median Coverage

=

14.7

Median Coverage

=

24.9

Sub1-Sub3

P3


P1

=

0.00364(2.13)

P3


P1

=

0.00327 (1.95)

P3


P1

=

0.00180 (1.18)

P3


P1

=

0.00023 (.14)
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