Wine Chemistry and Biochemistry

(Steven Felgate) #1

13 Statistical Techniques for the Interpretation of Analytical Data 685


Accepting that previous values


{
x 1 , 1 ,x 2 , 1 ,...,xn 1 , 1

}
,

{
x 1 , 2 ,x 2 , 2 ,...,xn 2 , 2

}


{ ,...,
x 1 ,k,x 2 ,k,...,xnk,k


}
correspond to the data fromkrandom subpopulations, with

normal distribution (xi,j∼N(mj,σ),j= 1 ,...,k), and assuming thatm 1 ,...,mj


represents a random sample from a population with distributionN(μ, σa), we can


consider for each observationxi,jtherandom effects model (components of variance


model) xi,j=μ+aj+εi,jwhereaj=mj−μare independentN(0,σa)andεi,j


are independentN(0,σ). For this model, we are interested in estimating the two


components of varianceσ^2 andσa^2 , and in testing the hypothesisH 0 ≡σa^2 = 0


using the same statisticFcal=
SSfactor/(k−1)
SSerr or/(n−k) with aFk−^1 ,n−kdistribution as in the
fixed effects case. The components of variance are estimated asσ^2 =MSSwithin


andσa^2 =(MSSbetween−MSSwithin)/q,whereq=k−^11 (



nj−


∑n^2 j
nj)(Afifiand
Azen 1979; Massart et al. 1990; Gardiner 1997). Thisrandom effects modelis often


used in analytical chemistry to breakdown a total precision into its components such


as between-days and within-days, or between-laboratories and within-laboratories


in collaborative trials, to validate an analytical method using reference material.


13.1.4.4 Two Factor Experimental Design or Two-Way ANOVA


In the case of two factors A and B, withaandbfixed levels respectively, andm


replicate measurements of response variableXin each ofa·btreatment com-


binations, we accept for every observationxi,j,k,thek-th replicate of experimen-


tal units receiving factor A leveliand B levelj, the following model:xi,j,k =


μ+αi+βj+γi,j+εi,j,k, withi= 1 ,...,a, j= 1 ,...,b,yk = 1 ,...,m,


and whereμis a global mean,αirepresenting the effect on the response variable


Xof factor A at leveli,βjrepresenting the effect on the response variable of


factor B at levelj,γi,jrepresenting the combined effect on the response variable


Xof factor A at leveliwith factor B at levelj,andεi,j,kis the error with nor-


mal distributionN(0,σ). The two-way ANOVA breaks down the total variation


of the observations into four sources associated with both factors, their interaction


and with other factors not controlled, in agreement with the terms in the model


(SStotal=SSA+SSB+SSAx B+SSerr or). There are three null hypotheses asso-


ciated with two factors: factor A does not influence the response variableX,H 01 ≡


αi= 0 , ∀i, factor B does not influence the response,H 02 ≡βj= 0 , ∀j,and


no interaction effect occurs,H 03 ≡γi,j= 0 ,∀i,j, that can be confirmed with the


three following F-statistics:Fcal^1 =MSSA/MSSerr orwith (a−1) andab(m−1)df,


Fcal^2 =MSSB/MSSerr orwith (b−1) andab(m−1) df andFcal^3 =MSSAB/MSSerr or


with (a−1)(b−1) andab(m−1) df, respectively. The sums of squares associated
with the source of variation, their df and mean squares, and the F-ratios, along with


their associated probabilities, are summarized in the two-way ANOVA table (see


Table 13.7). After fixing the value forα,ifFcal^3 <F 1 −α,(a−1)(b−1),ab(m−1)orPAx B>α,


thenH 03 is accepted, the interaction does not exist, and the influence of one of the


factors will not depend on the levels of another factor. IfFcal^1 >F 1 −α,(a−1),ab(m−1)


orPA<α,thenH 02 is rejected, factor A influences the analyzed variable, and if

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