Principles of Private Firm Valuation

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consulting firm concurred, that Frier’s month-end equity values could be
compared to both the broad stock market, measured by the performance of
the Russell 5000, and a selected public firm peer group. This would answer
a nagging question posed by the board: Would they have been better off
investing in the public market than hoping to hit a home run by investing in
Frier? Remember, these board members were owners, albeit minority share-
holders, but they intuitively believed that they had made a mistake, and they
wanted to know how much it cost them. Figure 3.2 shows the comparative
equity analysis.
Richard Fox noted that over the past five years, Frier’s equity perfor-
mance lagged behind that of a portfolio of peer firms and the broader mar-
ket index. These findings confirmed the worst fears of the board. Although
they knew that Frier had underperformed, which was the stimulus for hir-
ing Richard Fox in the first place, they had no idea how bad things really
were. The valuation snapshots provided by their accounting firm at each
year-end meeting belied the significance of the firm’s poor performance.
To say the board was shocked by this analysis was an understatement.
The question was how to proceed from there and, more important, how to


The Restructuring of Frier Manufacturing 35


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Index (1/98 = 100)

Russell 500

Peer portfolio

Frier

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FIGURE 3.2 Comparative Stock Performance: Monthly

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