Arbitrage free forward price 141
Underlying = commodity that is an consumption asset, e.g. oil
... no arbitrage condition
L
... present value of the storage costs incurred during
T
≤
... Individuals who keep consumption assets will probably
do so because of its consumption value - not because of its value as an investment! Therefore, we are unable to exploit the arbitrage opportunity given which would require that we sell the underlying!
(
)
rT
t
T
t
e
L
S
F
+
≤
0
, 0
()
rT
t
T
t
e
L
S
F
+
<
0
, 0
Derivative securities: Forwards - Pricing