Microsoft PowerPoint - PoF.ppt

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Risk-neutral probabilitiesƒ 211

Note that p’ and q’ satisfy (*),the average rate of growth of the stock under p’ and q’ is exactly the same as the rate of growth of the money market account.
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If this would be the case then investors must be neutral about risk - they do not require compensation for assuming it (risk averse), nor are they willing to pay for it (risk loving). This is simply not the case

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p’ and q’ are not the

actual probabilities, which we call p and q, but rather so-called risk-neutral probabilities!
Derivative securities: Options - Binomial asset pricing model


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