Engineering Economic Analysis

(Chris Devlin) #1
284 OTHER ANALYSISTECHNIQUES

Now, as a check on the payback period analysis, compute the rate of return for each alternative."
Assume the minimum attractive rate of return is 10%.

The cash flows for the two alternatives are as follows:


Year


o 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Tempo Machine
-$30,000
+ 12,000
+9,000
+6,000
+3,000
o
o
o
o
o

Dura Machine
-$35,000
+1,000
+4,000
+7,000
+10,000
+ 13,000
+16,000
+19,000
+22,000
+57,000

Tempo Machine
Since the sum of the cash flows for the Tempo machine is zero, we see immediately that the
$30,000 investment just equals the subsequent benefits. The resulting rate of return is 0%.
Dura Machine

35,000 = 1000(PjA, i,8)+3000(PjG, i,8)


Tryi=20%:


35,000 ~ 1000(3.837) + 3000(9.883)


~3837 + 29,649 = 33,486


The 20% interest rate is too high. Tryi=15%:


35,000 ~ 1000(4.487) + 3000(12.481)


~4487 + 37,443=41,930


This time, the interest rate is too low. Linear interpolation would show that the rate of return is
approximately 19%.
Using an exact calculation-rate of return--;-,-itis clear that the Tempo is not very attJ.'active
economiq.l}y. Y~t it ~s thi~ aJle!ll~t:tve,and nq.t."the.,QurawacJ:rine, that w,~ preferred based On ~
the payback period calculations. On the other hand, the shorter payback period for the Tempo does
give a measure of the speed of the return of the investment not found in the Dura. The conclusion

I to be drawn~iSJhatJiqfiidity;ffild,profitability may be two quite different criteria. \1
I... .,~- ..~


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