Engineering Economic Analysis

(Chris Devlin) #1



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46 ENGINEERINGCOSTS AND COST ESTIMATING


scale that are common in industrial plant and equipment costs. Consider the cost to build a
refinery.Would it cost twice as much to build the same facility with double the capacity? It is
unlikely. Thepower-sizing modeluses the exponent(x),called thepower-sizing exponent,
to reflect economies of scale in the size or capacity:

Cost of equipmentA
(

Size(capacity) of equipmentA
)

x
= (2-3)
Cost of equipmentB Size(capacity) ofB

wherexis the power-sizing exponent, costs ofAandBare at the same point in time (same
dollar basis), and size or capacity is in the same physical units for bothAandB.'
The power-sizing exponent(x)can be 1.0 (indicating a linear cost-versus-size/capacity
relationship) or greater than 1.0 (indicatingdiseconomiesof scale), but it is usually less
than 1.0 (indicating economies of scale). Generally the ratio should be less than 2, and it
should never exceed5.This model works best in a "middle" range-not very small or very
large size.
Exponent values for plants and equipment of many types may be found in several
sources, including industry reference books, research reports, and technical journals. Such
exponent values may be found inPerry's Chemical Engineers' Handbook, Plant Design
and Economics for Chemical Engineers, andPreliminary Plant Design in Chemical
Engineering.Table 2-1 gives power sizing exponent values for several types of industrial
facilities and equipment. The exponent given applies only to equipment within the size
range specified.
In Equation 2-3 equipment costs for bothAandBoccur at the same point in time. This
equation is useful for scaling equipment costs butnotfor updating those costs. When the
time of the desired cost estimate is different from the time in which the scaling occurs (per
Equation 2-3) cost indexes accomplish the time updating. Thus, in cases like Example 2-8
involving both scaling and updating, we use the power sizing model together with. cost
indexes.

TABLE2-1 Example Power-Sizing Exponent Values


Equipment/Facility

Blower, centrifugal
Compressor
Crystallizer, vacuum batch
Dryer, drum, single atmospheric
Fan, centrifugal
Filter, vacuum rotary drum
Lagoon, aerated
Motor
Reactor, 300 psi
Tank, atmospheric, horizontal

Size Range

Power-Sizing
Exponent

10,000-100,000 ft3fmin
200-2100 hp
500-7000 ft2
10-100 ft2
20,000-70,000 ft2fmin
10-1500 ft2
0.05-20 million gal/day
5-20 hp
100-1000 gal
100-40,000 gal

0.59
0.32
0.37
0.40
1.17
0.48
1.13
0.69
0.56
0.57
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