Engineering Economic Analysis

(Chris Devlin) #1
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72 INTERESTAND EQUIVALENCE


Aspredicted,at the higher9% interesteach of the repaymentplansof Table3-1 repaysa
present sum less than $5000. But they do not repay thesamepresent sum. Plan 1 would
repay $4877 with 9% interest, while Plan 2 would repay $4806. Thus, with interest at 9%,
Plans 1 and 2 are no longer equivalent, for they will not repay the same present sum. The
two series of payments (Plan 1 and Plan 2) were equivalent at 8%, but not at 9%. This
leads to the conclusion that equivalence is dependent on the interest rate. Changing the
interest rate destroys the equivalencebetween two series of payments.
Could we create revised repayment schemes that would be equivalent to $5000 now
with interest at 9%? Yes, of course we could: to revise Plan I of Table 3-1, we need to
increase the total end-of-year payment in order to pay 9% interest on the outstanding debt.

Year
1
2
3
4
5

Amount Owed at
Beginning of Year
$5000
4000
3000
2000
1000

9% Interest
for Year
$450
360
270
180
90

Total End-of- Year Payment
($1000 plus interest)
$1450
1360
1270
1180
1090

Plan 2 of Table 3-1 is revised for 9% interest by increasing the first four payments to
9% x $5000=$450 and the final payment to $5450. Twoplans that repay $5000 in 5 years
with interest at 9% are:

Revised End-of- Year Payments
Year Plan 1 Plan 2
1 $1450 $ 450
2 1360 450
3 lTIO ~O
4 1180 450
5 1090 5450
Wehave determined that RevisedPlan 1is equivalentto a present sum of $5000 and Revised
Plan 2 is equivalentto $5000 now; it follows that at 9% interest, RevisedPlan 1is equivalent
to Revised Plan 2.

Application of Equivalence Calculations


To understand the usefulness of equivalencecalculations, consider the following:
AlternativeA: AlternativeB:
Lower Initial Cost, Higher Initial Cost,
Higher Operating Cost Lower Operating Cost
-$600 -$850
-115 -80
-115 -80
-115 -80

. Year
o (now)
1
2
3


(^10) -115 -80

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