Mathematical Modeling in Finance with Stochastic Processes

(Ben Green) #1

56 CHAPTER 1. BACKGROUND IDEAS


Key Concepts



  1. A sequence or interval of random outcomes, that is to say, a string
    of random outcomes dependent on time as well as the randomness
    is called astochastic process. Because of the inclusion of a time
    variable, the rich range of random outcome distributions is multiplied
    to an almost bewildering variety of stochastic processes. Nevertheless,
    the most commonly studied types of random processes do have a family
    tree of relationships.

  2. Stochastic processes are functions of two variables, the time index and
    the sample point. As a consequence, there are several ways to repre-
    sent the stochastic process. The simplest is to look at the stochastic
    process at a fixed value of time. The result is a random variable with
    a probability distribution, just as studied in elementary probability.

  3. Another way to look at a stochastic process is to consider the stochas-
    tic process as a function of the sample pointω. For eachωthere is an
    associated function of timeX(t). This means that one can look at a
    stochastic process as a mapping from the sample space Ω to a set of
    functions. In this interpretation, stochastic processes are a generaliza-
    tion from the random variables of elementary probability theory.


Vocabulary



  1. A sequence or interval of random outcomes, that is, random outcomes
    dependent on time is called astochastic process.

  2. LetJ be a subset of the non-negative real numbers. Let Ω be a set,
    usually called thesample spaceorprobability space. An element
    ωof Ω is called asample pointorsample path. LetSbe a set of
    values, often the real numbers, called thestate space. Astochastic
    processis a functionX: (J,Ω)→S, that is a function of both time
    and the sample point to the state space.

  3. The particular stochastic process usually called a simple random
    walkTn gives the position in the integers after taking a step to the
    right for a head, and a step to the left for a tail.

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