traits, and a history of rule violation) were the best pre-
dictors of sexual recidivism.
Few studies have focused on dynamic factors related
to recidivism. In their meta-analysis, Hanson and
Morton-Bourgnon found several dynamic factors that
were related to sexual recidivism, including sexual pre-
occupation and general self-regulation deficits.
However, it should be noted that they found no rela-
tionship between factors that have been commonly
assumed to be related to sexual re-offending and subse-
quent sexual recidivism, such as psychological distress,
denial of sex crimes, victim empathy, and motivation
for treatment.
Hanson and Harris conducted another study looking
specifically at dynamic factors related to sexual recidi-
vism. They examined sexual re-offending in a sample
of 400 sex offenders for a period of 5 years following
release. The researchers found that sex offenders who
had committed new sex crimes were more likely to be
unemployed, have substance use disorders, engage in
deviant sexual activities, demonstrate low levels of
remorse for the victim, and report a more chaotic and
antisocial lifestyle than those who had not committed
new sexual offenses.
Sex Offender Typologies
and Recidivism
Some evidence suggests that the risk of sexual recidi-
vism may differ by sex offender typology (category
of sex offender). One study found that rates of sexual re-
offense for incest offenders (those who offend against
family members) ranged between 4% and 10%; rates of
sexual recidivism for child molesters with female vic-
tims ranged between 10% and 29%; rates of sexual
recidivism for child molesters with male victims ranged
between 13% and 40%; rates of sexual recidivism for
rapists ranged between 7% and 35%; and rates of sexual
recidivism for exhibitionists (those who expose them-
selves in public) ranged between 41% and 71%.
Numerous studies have examined recidivism rates
for rapists. Rates of sexual recidivism for rapists have
ranged between 11% and 28% over 5 years. Researchers
have postulated that these discrepancies in recidivism
rates could be attributed to the fact that there are differ-
ent types of rapists (such as those who are mentally dis-
ordered vs. those on probation) and the differential
length of follow-up.
When studying recidivism rates among sex offend-
ers who commit sexual offenses against children,
researchers generally separate the sex offenders into
three categories: (1) those who molest girls; (2) those
who molest boys; and (3) those who molest family
members (incest offenders). Generally, it has been
found that child molesters who have same-sex victims
are at risk of higher rates of re-offending than those
who offend against children of a different sex. A study
of mentally disordered child molesters who offended
against boys found a recidivism rate of 30% over 5
years, compared with a 25% recidivism rate for child
molesters who offended against girls and a recidivism
rate of 6% for incest offenders. However, other studies
have found no differences between recidivism rates for
child molesters with male or female victims.
It should be noted that there have been some con-
tradictory findings regarding sex offender typologies
and risk for re-offending in the recidivism literature.
Many studies, including Hanson and Bussière’s meta-
analysis, have found higher sexual recidivism rates for
rapists compared with child molesters, with incest
offenders having the lowest rate of re-offense of all
categories of sex offenders. However, one study found
that over a 25-year period, child molesters had a higher
rate of re-offense than rapists (52% vs. 39%). In this
study, recidivism was recorded as any new re-arrest
that could inflate recidivism statistics. Another factor
that should be considered when examining sex
offender typologies and recidivism is that there is some
evidence that sex offenders may not be stable in their
victim choice, and there could be crossover (e.g., a
child molester with male victims could offend against
a female) in victim age and gender.
Elizabeth L. Jeglic
See alsoSex Offender Assessment; Sex Offender Treatment;
Sex Offender Typologies
Further Readings
Hanson, R. K., & Bussière, M. T. (1998). Predicting relapse:
A meta-analysis of sexual offender recidivism studies.
Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology,
66 (2), 348–362.
Hanson, R. K., & Harris, A. (2000). Where should we
intervene? Dynamic predictors of sexual offense
recidivism. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 27(1), 6–35.
Hanson, R. K., & Morton-Bourgnon, K. E. (2005). The
characteristics of persistent sexual offenders: A meta-
analysis of recidivism studies. Journal of Consulting and
Clinical Psychology, 73(6), 1154–1163.
Marshall, W. L., & Barbaree, H. E. (1990). Outcomes of
comprehensive cognitive-behavioral treatment programs.
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