ECONOMIC POLICY| 441
tors levels of bank lending, the money supply, and interest rates. Bank lending is
important for economic growth because businesses borrow money to expand, and
as they grow, they add jobs. If credit is tight and businesses cannot borrow money,
economic growth will suff er, as became painfully evident in late 2008 and 2009.
The second target of monetary policy, the money supply, is also central to eco-
nomic growth and directly related to levels of lending activity. The Fed can infl u-
ence the amount of money in the system by making it easier or harder for banks
to lend money. According to the monetarist theory, the amount of money in cir-
culation is the most important determinant of economic activity and infl ation. If
too much money is chasing too few goods, there could be infl ationary pressure on
Revenues, 1962 Spending, 1962
Payroll
Taxes
17 .1%
Defense
Discretionary
49 .2%
Net Interest
6 .4%
All Other
Mandatory
12 .8%
Non-defense
Discretionary
18 .3%
Excise Taxes
and All Other
8 .2%
Revenues, 2013
Payroll
Taxes
33%
Spending, 2013
Social
Security
13 .2%
Individual Income Taxes
46 .8%
Individual
Income Taxes
45 .7%
Corporate
Income Taxes
12%
Corporate
Income Taxes
20 .6%
Excise
Taxes and
All Other
16 .6%
Social Security
21 .5%
Medicare
13 .8%
Medicaid^8.
6%
Non-defenseDiscretionary
13
.5%
Defense
Discretionary
17 .8%
Net Interest7%
All Other
Mandatory
17 .8%
Source: The President’s Budget for Fiscal Year 2013, Offi ce of Management and Budget, http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget (accessed 10/7/12).
FEDERAL REVENUES AND SPENDING, 1962 AND 2013
A much larger share of tax revenue comes from payroll taxes than was true in the 1960s. What implications does this have
for the redistributive nature of federal taxes? What have been the biggest changes since the 1960s in the way the federal tax
dollar is spent? Are these trends likely to reverse or continue in the next 30 years?
FIGURE » 14.5
monetarist theory The idea that
the amount of money in circulation
(the money supply) is the primary
infl uence on economic activity and
infl ation.