Frequently Asked Questions In Quantitative Finance

(Kiana) #1
Chapter 2: FAQs 31

What is the Central Limit Theorem


and What are its Implications for


Finance?


Short Answer
The distribution of the average of a lot of random num-
bers will be normal (also known as Gaussian) even
when the individual numbers are not normally dis-
tributed.

Example
Play a dice game where you win $10 if you throw a six,
but lose $1 if you throw anything else. The distribution
of your profit after one coin toss is clearly not normal,
it’s bimodal and skewed, but if you play the game thou-
sands of times your total profit will be approximately
normal.

Long Answer
LetX 1 ,X 2 ,...,Xnbe a sequence of random variables
which are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.),
with finite mean,mand standard deviations.Thesum

Sn=

∑n

i= 1

Xi

has meanmnand standard deviations


n. The Central
Limit Theorem says that asngets larger the distribution
ofSntends to the normal distribution. More accurately,
if we work with the scaled quantity

Sn=

Sn−mn
s


n
then the distribution ofSnconverges to the normal
distribution with zero mean and unit standard devia-
tion asntends to infinity. The cumulative distribution
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