70 Science & technology TheEconomistJanuary15th 2022
OmicronandimmunityThe start of
something new?
V
ariantsvary, buthow much?Since
sarscov2 was first sequenced at the
beginning of 2020 dozens of versions have
been identified. Five have been designated
“variants of concern” by the World Health
Organisation (who). The latest is Omicron,
which was given its name in November last
year and looks set to become the dominant
form of the virus almost everywhere.
One question occupying both scientists
and politicians is whether covid vaccines
would work even better if they were updat
ed to deal with novel variants. Up to and in
cluding Delta, first identified in India, and
designated a variant of concern in May
2021, the answer has been “no”. But new re
search, which has mapped differences be
tween all of the important versions of
sarscov2, suggests that, although ad
ministering existing vaccines is still use
ful, Omicron is so different from the others
that the answer might now be “yes”.
Researchers in the Netherlands, coor
dinated by Rogier Sanders and Colin Rus
sell of the University of Amsterdam and
Dirk Eggink of the Dutch Public Health In
stitute, acquired blood samples collected
from 51 unvaccinated people shortly after
they had been infected with various ver
sions of sarscov2. These included the
original, ancestral, strain and the Alpha,
Beta, Gamma and Delta variants. (Omicron
samples were not available.) They then as
sessed the antibody response (“neutralis
ing capacity”) of those samples against dif
ferent antigens—in other words, different
versions of the virus, again using the an
cestral strain, Alpha, Beta, Gamma and
Delta and, this time, Omicron.
By measuring the neutralising capacity
of the serum of each participant against
the various variants and applying what is
known as a multidimensional scaling al
gorithm, Dr Sanders, Dr Russell, Dr Eggink
and their colleagues were able to position
both the viruses and the serum samples on
an “antigenic map” (see chart). This is used
to study how mutations make viruses
more or less different from the ancestral
strain, in a process called antigenic drift. In
such maps, one unit of distance is equiva
lent to a twofold change in neutralisation
titre (a measure of the concentration of
antibodies in the blood needed to neutral
ise a virus). Samples plotted closer togeth
er are more similar. Going by a measure
conventionally used to group influenza vi
ruses—a distance of three or fewer antigenic units—the researchers found that
Omicronwouldcountasthefirstofa new
groupofsarscov2.Whereasallwidely
circulating variantsbefore it,beingless
thanthree units apartfromeach other,
clusterasa singlegroup,Omicronismore
thanfiveunitsawayfromallothers.
A paper describingthisresearchwas
uploadedtomedRxiv, a researchportal,on
January3rd,buthasnotyetbeenpeerre
viewed.Theauthorsalsocautionthattheir
methodsvaryslightlyfromthoseconven
tionallyusedtomapinfluenza.Neverthe
lesstheyconcludethat“thechangeinneu
tralisation between Omicron and other
variantsofsarscov2,includingthean
cestralstrain,isstriking”.(Aseparatein
vestigation,publishedonthesamedayin
Cell, reachesa similarconclusion.)DrRus
sell cautions that the study’s findings
shouldnotbeinterpretedtomeanthatex
istingvaccinations,designedforthean
cestralstrain,areineffective.“Omicron’s
substantial reduction in crossreactivity
withpreviousvariantsdoesn’tmeanthat
thereisnoreactivity.Thisisprobablywhy
boosting withcurrent vaccinesprovides
someprotection,”hesays.
AsmorepeoplecatchOmicronorare
vaccinated,somoreofthepopulationwill
havesomeprotectionthaninthepast.Oth
er studieshavealso shownthatthe re
sponseofanotherpartoftheimmunesys
tem,itstcells,seemslessaffectedbyOm
icron’smutations. That is probably one
reasonwhyOmicronrarelycausessevere
diseaseanddeathinthosewhohaveac
quiredimmunitythroughinfectionorvac
cination.TheotheristhatOmicronitself
seemstobeinherentlylesslethal.But,just
astwicea yearthewhoorganisesexpert
reviews ofinfluenzaviruses andissues
recommendationsonhowtotweakvac
cine compositions, Dr Russell proposes
somethingsimilarforcovidvaccines.For
maximumefficacy,hesuggests,vaccines
shouldbeupdatedassoonaspossible.nThe latest iteration of sarscov2 really
is different from those before itThe same, but different
Antigenic map of differences in antibody responseSource:“MappingtheantigenicdiversificationofSARS-CoV-2”,
byKarlijnvanderStratenetal.(2022,preprint)↑Two-foldchangeinconcentrationofantibodies
neededforneutralisationofvirusAsthedistanceincreases,
sodoesthedifference
inantibodyresponse →←↑
↓Alpha
AncestralstrainBetaDeltaGamma OmicronAntigens(samples
ofvirusvariant)Serum (blood sample),
by variant of past infectionand Revivicor, a regenerativemedicine
company in Blacksburg, Virginia. It was
Revivicor that provided the genetically
modified pig for Friday’s surgery. The ani
mal in question had a genome modified in
ten ways, to optimise the chances of suc
cess. Three genes had been removed to re
duce the risk of a human antibody reject
ing the donor organ. A fourth, a growth
gene, had also been knocked out, to ensure
the heart did not enlarge after transplanta
tion. And six human genes had been add
ed, to promote acceptance.
In addition to the usual risks surround
ing any heart transplant, there are a num
ber of areas of concern that Dr Griffith and
his colleagues will be looking out for. One
is any hithertounknown rejection mecha
nism. Another is the possibility that the or
gan may transfer porcine viruses to its new
host. The pig in question was reared in a
sterile environment to minimise the
chance of that, but it remains a possibility.
Supporters of xenotransplantation
think its potential to improve lives is huge.
In America alone, over 100,000 people are
waiting for transplants (though the vast
majority need a kidney rather than a heart).
In 2020 only a third of the required num
ber of organs became available.
In theory, pigs can be bred to provide
humans with any solid organ, though
some will be more complex than others. A
large part of the heart’s function is me
chanical, but other organs have chemical
jobs that will be harder to replicate. More
over, even assuming these barriers can be
overcome and successful surgical proce
dures developed, most researchers still ac
knowledge that scaling up xenotransplan
tation to meet the world’s demand for or
gans may take decades.Afterthis news,
however, the chances thatitwill happen
eventually have increased.nLifesaver