Fish as feed inputs for aquaculture: practices, sustainability and implications

Wild fish and other aquatic organisms as feed in aquaculture in Europe 217

TABLE 4
Predicted production from capture fisheries and aquaculture (million tonnes)
Year 2000 2004 2010 2015 2020 2030
Information source FAO statistics FAOstatistics SOFIA 2004 FAO study** SOFIA 2004** SOFIA 2004
Capture fisheries 95 96 93 105 93 93
Marine capture 86 87 87 87 87
Inland capture 996 66
Aquaculture 36 45 53 74 70 83
Total production 131 141 146 179 163 176
Food fish
production 96 (73%) 120 (82%) 138 (85%) 150 (85%)
Non-food use 35 (27%) 26 (18%) 26 (15%) 26 (15%)
Source: FAO (2002); FAO (2006a); FAO (2005c); ****Failler (2005)

consumption dropped dramatically over the 1990s but is expected to increase quickly

to nearly 31 kg/person/year.

Per capita fish supply figures from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

of the United Nations (Delgado et al., 2002) for the period 1999–2001 indicate that

the 15 EU countries have a per capita supply of 24.2 kg/year; the new EU states,

10.7 kg/year; other countries of Western Europe (The Faroe Islands, Iceland, Norway

and Switzerland), 29.9 kg/year; and the countries of Eastern Europe, 3.1 kg/year. The

areas of the former Union of the Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) have a per capita

supply of 16.9 kg/year.

2.2.3 Supply from capture fisheries and aquaculture

According to FAO, total global fish production (capture fisheries plus aquaculture)

might increase from 131 million tonnes in 1999/2001 to 146 million tonnes in 2010

and then to 179 million tonnes by the year 2015 (Table 4). This means that growth in

global fish production is projected to decline from the annual rate of 2.7 percent of the

last decade to 2.1 percent per year between 1999/2001 and 2010 and to 1.6 percent per

year between 2010 and 2015. Global capture production is projected to stagnate, while

global aquaculture production is projected to increase substantially, albeit at a slower

rate than in the past. Out of the expected increase of 48 million tonnes in total global

fish production from 1999/2001 to 2015, 73 percent would come from aquaculture,

which is projected to account for 39 percent of global fish production in 2015 (up from

27.5 percent in 1999/2001).

TABLE 5

Regional share of total food-fish production %, 1973–1997 (actual) and 2020 (projected)

Region Actual annual production (%) Projected (%)

1973 1985 1997 2020

Europe (subtotal) 30 23 11 9

EU-15 13 9 6 5

Eastern Europe and former USSR 17 14 5 4

China 10 13 36 41

Other Asia 17 19 21 21

Latin America 5 6 7 7

West Asia and northern Africa 1 2 2 2

Sub-Saharan Africa 4 4 4 5

United States of America 4 6 5 4

Japan 17 14 6 4

Other 12 13 8 7

Total 100 100 100 100

Source: Delgado et al. (2002)