Interaction:dOR¼exp
^
bþ~^djWj
^band^djnonzero
no interaction:dOR¼expðb^Þ
Coefficients change when potential
confounders dropped:
Meaningful change?
Subjective?
If the model contains interaction terms, the
first step is difficult in practice. The odds
ratio expression, as shown here, involves two
or more coefficients, including one or more
nonzero^d. In contrast, when there is no inter-
action, the odds ratio involves the single co-
efficient^b.
It is likely that at least one or more of the^band
^d coefficients will change somewhat when
potential confounders are dropped from the
model. To evaluate how much of a change is a
meaningfulchange when considering the col-
lection of coefficients in the odds ratio formula
is quitesubjective. This will be illustrated by the
example.
As an example, suppose our initial model con-
tains E, four Vs, namely, V 1 , V 2 , V 3 , and
V 4 ¼V 1 V 2 , and fourEVs, namely,EV 1 ,EV 2 ,
EV 3 , andEV 4. Note thatEV 4 alternatively can
be considered as a three-factor product term as
it is of the formEV 1 V 2.
Suppose also that becauseEV 4 is a three-factor
product term, it is tested first, after all the other
variables are forced into the model. Further,
suppose that this test is significant, so that
the termEV 4 is to be retained in all further
models considered.
Because of the hierarchy principle, then, we
must retainEV 1 andEV 2 in all further models
as these two terms are components ofEV 1 V 2.
This leavesEV 3 as the only remaining two-fac-
tor interaction candidate to be dropped if not
significant.
To test forEV 3 , we can do either a likelihood
ratio test or a Wald test for the addition ofEV 3
to a model afterE, V 1 ,V 2 ,V 3 ,V 4 ¼V 1 V 2 ,EV 1 ,
EV 2 , andEV 4 are forced into the model.
Note that all four potential confounders –V 1
throughV 4 – are forced into the model here
because we are at the interaction stage so far,
and we have not yet addressed confounding in
this example.
EXAMPLE
Variables in initial model:
E;V 1 ;V 2 ;V 3 ;V 4 ¼V 1 V 2
EV 1 ;EV 2 ;EV 3 ;EV 4 ¼EV 1 V 2
SupposeEV 4 (¼EV 1 V 2 )
significant
Hierarchy principle:
EV 1 andEV 2 retained in all further
models
EV 3 candidate to be dropped
Test forEV 3 (LR or Wald test)
V 1 ,V 2 ,V 3 ,V 4 (allpotential
confounders) forced into model
during interaction stage
Presentation: IV. Confounding Assessment with Interaction 217