Two odds ratios:
OR 1 (category 1 vs. category 0)
(Adenosquamous vs.
Adenocarcinoma)
OR 2 (category 2 vs. category 0)
(Other vs. Adenocarcinoma)
OR 1 ¼
½PðD¼ 1 jX¼ 1 Þ=PðD¼ 0 jX¼ 1 Þ
½PðD¼ 1 jX¼ 0 Þ=PðD¼ 0 jX¼ 0 Þ
OR 2 ¼
½PðD¼ 2 jX¼ 1 Þ=PðD¼ 0 jX¼ 1 Þ
½PðD¼ 2 jX¼ 0 Þ=PðD¼ 0 jX¼ 0 Þ
Adenosquamous vs. Adenocarci-
noma:
OR 1 ¼
exp½a 1 þb 11 ð 1 Þ
exp½a 1 þb 11 ð 0 Þ
¼eb^11
Other vs. Adenocarcinoma:
OR 2 ¼
exp½a 2 þb 21 ð 1 Þ
exp½a 2 þb 21 ð 0 Þ
¼eb^21
They are different!
OR 1 =eb^11 OR 2 =eb^21
We need to calculate two odds ratios, one that
compares category 1 (Adenosquamous) to
category 0 (Adenocarcinoma) and one that
compares category 2 (Other) to category 0
(Adenocarcinoma).
Recall that we are actually calculating a ratio of
two “odds-like” expressions. However, we con-
tinue the conventional use of the term odds
ratio for our discussion.
Each odds ratio is calculated in a manner sim-
ilar to that used in standard logistic regression.
The two OR formulas are shown on the left.
Using our previously defined probabilities of
the log odds, we substitute the two values of
X 1 for the exposure (i.e., 0 and 1) into those
expressions. After dividing, we see that the
odds ratio for the first comparison (Adenos-
quamous vs. Adenocarcinoma) is e to theb 11.
The odds ratio for the second comparison
(Other vs. Adenocarcinoma) is e to theb 21.
We obtain two different odds ratio expressions,
one utilizingb 11 and the other utilizingb 21.
Thus, quantifying the association between the
exposure and outcome depends on which
levels of the outcome are being compared.
438 12. Polytomous Logistic Regression