Detailed
Outline I. Overview(pages 432–433)
A. Focus: modeling outcomes with more than two
levels.
B. Using previously described techniques by
combining outcome categories.
C. Nominal vs. ordinal outcomes.
II. Polytomous logistic regression: An example with
three categories(pages 434–437)
A. Nominal outcome: variable has no inherent
order.
B. Consider “odds-like” expressions, which are
ratios of probabilities.
C. Example with three categories and one
predictor (X 1 ):
ln
PðD¼ 1 jX 1 Þ
PðD¼ 0 jX 1 Þ
¼a 1 þb 11 X 1 ;
ln
PðD¼ 2 jX 1 Þ
PðD¼ 0 jX 1 Þ
¼a 2 þb 21 X 1 :
III. Odds ratio with three categories(pages 437–441)
A. Computation of OR in polytomous regression is
analogous to standard logistic regression, except
that there is a separate odds ratio for each
comparison.
B. The general formula for the odds ratio for any
two levels of the exposure variable (X** 1 andX* 1 )in
a no-interaction model is
ORg¼expðbg 1 X** 1 X* 1
hi
; whereg¼ 1 ; 2 :
IV. Statistical inference with three categories
(pages 441–444)
A. Two types of statistical inferences are often of
interest in polytomous regression:
i. Testing hypotheses
ii. Deriving interval estimates
B. Confidence interval estimation is analogous to
standard logistic regression.
C. The general large-sample formula (no-
interaction model) for a 95% confidence interval
for comparison of outcome levelgvs. the
reference category, for any two levels of the
independent variable (X 1 **andX 1 *), is
exp ^bg 1 X** 1 X* 1
1 : 96 X* 1 X 1
s^bg 1
no
:
Detailed Outline 455