Logistic Regression: A Self-learning Text, Third Edition (Statistics in the Health Sciences)

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RORE¼ 1 vs:E¼ 0 ¼


R 1


1 R 1


R 0


1 R 0


Substitute PðÞ¼X


1


1 þeðÞaþ~biXi
into ROR formula:


E¼ 1 :R 1 ¼


1


1 þeðÞaþ½b^1 ^1 Š
¼

1


1 þeðÞaþb^1

E¼ 0 :R 0 ¼


1


1 þeðÞaþ½b^1 ^0 Š
¼

1


1 þea

ROR¼


R 1


1 R 1


R 0


1 R 0


¼


1


1 þeðÞaþb^1
1
1 þea

algebra
= eb^1


General ROR formula used for
other special cases


We would like to use the above model for sim-
ple analysis to obtain an expression for the
odds ratio that compares exposed persons
with unexposed persons. Using the termsR 1
and R 0 , we can write this odds ratio asR 1
divided by 1 minusR 1 overR 0 divided by 1
minusR 0.

To compute the odds ratio in terms of the para-
meters of the logistic model, we substitute the
logistic model expression into the odds ratio
formula.

ForEequal to 1, we can writeR 1 by substitut-
ing the valueEequals 1 into the model formula
for P(X). We then obtain 1 over 1 plus e to
minus the quantityaplusb 1 times 1, or simply
1 over 1 plus e to minusaplusb 1.

ForEequal to zero, we writeR 0 by substituting
Eequal to 0 into the model formula, and we
obtain 1 over 1 plus e to minusa.

To obtain ROR then, we replaceR 1 with 1 over
1 plus e to minusaplusb 1 , and we replaceR 0
with 1 over 1 plus e to minus a. The ROR
formula then simplifies algebraically to e to
theb 1 , whereb 1 is the coefficient of the expo-
sure variable.

We could have obtained this expression for the
odds ratio using the general formula for the
ROR that we gave during our review. We will
use the general formula now. Also, for other
special cases of the logistic model, we will use
the general formula rather than derive an odds
ratio expression separately for each case.

Presentation: II. Special Case – Simple Analysis 47
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