The Economist - USA (2022-01-29)

(Antfer) #1
TheEconomistJanuary29th 2022
Economic& financial indicators

76


Economic data

Grossdomesticproduct Consumerprices Unemployment Current-account Budget Interestrates Currencyunits
% change on year ago % change on year ago rate balance balance 10-yr gov't bonds change on per $ % change
latest quarter* 2022† latest 2022† % % of GDP, 2022† % of GDP, 2022† latest,% year ago, bp Jan 26th on year ago
UnitedStates 4.9 Q3 2.3 3.8 7.0 Dec 4.3 3.9 Dec -3.7 -7.8 1.9 80.0 -
China 4.0 Q4 6.6 5.3 1.5 Dec 2.3 5.1 Dec‡§ 2.3 -4.7 2.4 §§ -56.0 6.32 2.5
Japan 1.2 Q3 -3.6 3.2 0.8 Dec 1.3 2.8 Nov 3.1 -7.0 nil -8.0 114 -9.3
Britain 6.8 Q3 4.3 4.3 5.4 Dec 3.7 4.1 Oct†† -2.6 -6.5 1.1 77.0 0.74 -1.4
Canada 4.0 Q3 5.4 3.7 4.8 Dec 3.3 6.0 Dec 0.1 -7.5 1.8 102 1.26 0.8
Euroarea 3.9 Q3 9.4 3.9 5.0 Dec 2.7 7.2 Nov 3.2 -4.1 -0.1 46.0 0.89 -7.9
Austria 5.7 Q3 14.6 4.1 4.3 Dec 2.4 5.3 Nov 1.8 -3.1 0.2 57.0 0.89 -7.9
Belgium 4.9 Q3 8.4 3.3 5.7 Dec 2.2 5.9 Nov 0.6 -4.3 0.3 60.0 0.89 -7.9
France 3.3 Q3 12.6 3.9 2.8 Dec 2.3 7.5 Nov -1.2 -5.0 0.3 59.0 0.89 -
Germany 2.6 Q3 6.9 3.3 5.3 Dec 3.5 3.2 Nov 6.5 -2.7 -0.1 46.0 0.89 -
Greece 13.7 Q3 11.3 4.5 5.1 Dec 3.2 13.4 Nov -4.0 -4.3 1.7 103 0.89 -
Italy 3.9 Q3 11.0 4.3 3.9 Dec 2.7 9.2 Nov 3.5 -5.5 1.4 79.0 0.89 -
Netherlands 5.2 Q3 8.7 2.8 5.7 Dec 3.8 3.8 Dec 9.0 -4.1 -0.2 36.0 0.89 -
Spain 3.4 Q3 10.9 5.5 6.6 Dec 3.2 14.1 Nov 1.3 -5.4 0.6 48.0 0.89 -7.9
CzechRepublic 3.0 Q3 6.4 4.3 6.6 Dec 4.6 2.3 Nov‡ 2.1 -5.1 3.2 193 21.7 -1.4
Denmark 3.7 Q3 4.3 3.0 3.1 Dec 1.6 2.8 Nov 8.5 -0.2 0.1 56.0 6.60 -7.4
Norway 5.1 Q3 16.1 3.4 5.3 Dec 3.0 3.6 Oct‡‡ 8.5 0.2 1.4 76.0 8.89 -4.0
Poland 5.5 Q3 9.5 4.9 8.6 Dec 6.2 5.4 Dec§ 0.9 -3.1 3.9 276 4.06 -7.9
Russia 4.3 Q3 na 2.4 8.4 Dec 5.0 4.3 Nov§ 7.1 0.7 9.8 318 79.9 0
Sweden 4.5 Q3 8.2 3.0 3.9 Dec 2.4 7.5 Nov§ 3.7 -0.3 0.3 25.0 9.27 6
Switzerland 4.1 Q3 6.8 3.0 1.5 Dec 0.9 2.4 Dec 5.6 0.1 nil 48.0 0.92 3
Turkey 7.4 Q3 11.3 3.4 36.1 Dec 31.4 10.9 Nov§ -1.7 -3.6 21.6 883 13.6 9
Australia 3.9 Q3 -7.5 3.3 3.5 Q4 2.6 4.2 Dec 1.6 -4.6 1.9 83.0 1.40 9
HongKong 5.4 Q3 0.5 3.0 2.4 Dec 2.0 3.9 Dec‡‡ 1.2 -1.0 1.6 84.0 7.79 5
India 8.4 Q3 54.1 7.0 5.6 Dec 4.6 7.9 Dec -1.6 -5.9 6.7 71.0 74.8 -2.5
Indonesia 3.5 Q3 na 5.3 1.9 Dec 3.5 6.5 Q3§ -0.5 -4.9 6.4 17.0 14,352 -2.0
Malaysia -4.5 Q3 na 4.5 3.2 Dec 2.8 4.3 Nov§ 3.3 -6.2 3.7 103 4.19 -3.3
Pakistan 4.7 2021** na 3.3 12.3 Dec 8.0 6.9 2019 -5.5 -6.4 11.6 ††† 166 177 -9.2
Philippines 7.7 Q4 16.1 5.3 3.6 Dec 3.9 7.4 Q4§ -2.9 -7.2 5.0 202 51.3 -6.3
Singapore 5.9 Q4 10.7 3.8 4.0 Dec 2.2 2.6 Q3 17.6 -2.0 1.8 77.0 1.34 -1.5
SouthKorea 4.0 Q4 4.5 2.8 3.7 Dec 1.9 3.5 Dec§ 4.2 -2.7 2.6 80.0 1,198 -7.6
Taiwan 3.7 Q3 1.1 3.2 2.6 Dec 2.4 3.7 Dec 14.6 -0.7 0.7 37.0 27.7 1.0
Thailand -0.3 Q3 -4.2 2.8 2.2 Dec 1.8 1.5 Dec§ 1.8 -6.9 1.9 67.0 33.0 -9.0
Argentina 11.9 Q3 17.3 2.3 50.9 Dec 51.6 8.2 Q3§ 0.9 -3.2 na na 105 -16.9
Brazil 4.0 Q3 -0.4 0.3 10.1 Dec 7.6 12.1 Oct§‡‡ -0.7 -7.3 11.4 362 5.44 -1.6
Chile 17.2 Q3 21.0 3.0 7.2 Dec 6.9 7.5 Nov§‡‡ -2.4 -3.5 5.7 309 801 -8.4
Colombia 12.9 Q3 24.9 5.0 5.6 Dec 4.2 10.8 Nov§ -4.9 -6.5 8.8 391 3,951 -9.1
Mexico 4.5 Q3 -1.7 2.6 7.4 Dec 5.3 4.0 Dec -1.4 -3.5 7.6 240 20.6 -3.0
Peru 11.4 Q3 15.0 2.8 6.4 Dec 5.7 6.4 Dec§ -2.7 -2.6 6.1 236 3.85 -5.2
Egypt 9.8 Q3 na 5.4 5.9 Dec 6.3 7.5 Q3§ -3.9 -6.9 na na 15.7 -0.1
Israel 4.5 Q3 2.7 4.3 2.8 Dec 2.8 4.3 Dec 4.8 -3.2 1.4 54.0 3.18 2.5
SaudiArabia -4.1 2020 na 4.5 1.2 Dec 2.0 6.6 Q3 4.5 1.4 na na 3.75 nil
SouthAfrica 2.9 Q3 -5.8 2.1 5.9 Dec 4.7 34.9 Q3§ -0.3 -6.3 9.3 57.0 15.2 -0.9
Source: Haver Analytics. *% change on previous quarter, annual rate. †The Economist Intelligence Unit estimate/forecast. §Not seasonally adjusted. ‡New series. **Year ending June. ††Latest 3 months. ‡‡3-month moving
average. §§5-year yield. †††Dollar-denominated bonds.

Markets
% change on: % change on:
Index one Dec31st index one Dec31st
Inlocalcurrency Jan26th week 2020 Jan26th week 2020
UnitedStatesS&P 500 4,349.9 -4.0 15.8
UnitedStatesNAScomp 13,542.1 -5.6 5.1
ChinaShanghaiComp 3,455.7 -2.9 -0.5
ChinaShenzhenComp 2,329.2 -4.6 nil
JapanNikkei 225 27,011.3 -1.7 -1.6
JapanTopix 1,891.9 -1.5 4.8
BritainFTSE 100 7,469.8 -1.6 15.6
CanadaS&PTSX 20,595.9 -2.9 18.1
EuroareaEUROSTOXX 50 4,164.6 -2.4 17.2
FranceCAC 40 6,982.0 -2.7 25.8
GermanyDAX* 15,459.4 -2.2 12.7
ItalyFTSE/MIB 26,619.3 -2.7 19.7
NetherlandsAEX 752.4 -2.6 20.5
SpainIBEX 35 8,620.2 -1.8 6.8
PolandWIG 68,035.2 -3.8 19.3
RussiaRTS,$ terms 1,324.4 -6.4 -4.5
SwitzerlandSMI 12,098.3 -3.4 13.0
Tu r ke yBIST 1,951.2 -4.5 32.1
AustraliaAllOrd. 7,248.1 -5.3 5.8
HongKongHangSeng 24,289.9 0.7 -10.8
IndiaBSE 57,858.2 -3.7 21.2
IndonesiaIDX 6,600.8 0.1 10.4
MalaysiaKLSE 1,515.8 -1.0 -6.8

PakistanKSE 44,955.1 0.3 2.7
SingaporeSTI 3,271.6 -0.4 15.0
SouthKoreaKOSPI 2,709.2 -4.7 -5.7
TaiwanTWI 17,674.4 -3.0 20.0
ThailandSET 1,643.4 -0.9 13.4
ArgentinaMERV 85,782.1 2.7 67.5
BrazilBVSP 111,289.2 3.0 -6.5
MexicoIPC 51,037.1 -3.4 15.8
EgyptEGX 30 11,499.9 -1.8 6.0
IsraelTA-125 2,033.4 -3.4 29.7
SaudiArabiaTadawul 12,182.5 -0.6 40.2
SouthAfricaJSEAS 73,797.3 -3.1 24.2
World,dev'dMSCI 2,979.7 -3.8 10.8
EmergingmarketsMSCI 1,211.4 -2.3 -6.2

UScorporatebonds,spreadoverTreasuries
Dec31st
Basispoints latest 2020
Investmentgrade 127 136
High-yield 350 429
Sources:RefinitivDatastream;Standard& Poor'sGlobalFixedIncome
Research.*Totalreturnindex.

Commodities
The Economist commodity-price index %changeon
2015=100 Jan 18th Jan 25th* month year
Dollar Index
All Items 166.7 171.4 5.6 8.7
Food 139.0 142.5 1.7 15.4
Industrials
All 192.6 198.3 8.3 4.5
Non-food agriculturals 172.2 166.1 1.6 27.3
Metals 198.7 207.9 10.0 0.3
Sterling Index
All items 187.4 194.0 5.1 10.7
Euro Index
All items 163.0 168.6 5.8 17.3
Gold
$ per oz 1,815.7 1,847.3 2.1 -0.3
Brent
$ per barrel 87.6 88.3 16.2 57.7
Sources: Bloomberg; CME Group; Cotlook; Refinitiv Datastream;
Fastmarkets; FT; ICCO; ICO; ISO; Live Rice Index; LME; NZ Wool
Services; Thompson Lloyd & Ewart; Urner Barry; WSJ. *Provisional.

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