The Model 157
TABLE 6.16 (Continued)
1968 1969 1970 1971Variable Coeff T-Stat Coeff T-Stat Coeff T-Stat Coeff T-Stat
Intercept 0.025 1.53 0.013 0.64 –0.027 –1.21 –0.004 –0.36
DE 0 –0.74 0.001 0.65 0 –0.09 0.003 2.53
INTE –0.015 –0.24 –0.028 –0.54 0.016 0.68 –0.017 –1.02
PKL 0.07 1.31 0.133 1.62 0.238 3.47 –0.046 –1.29
DS –0.132 –0.51 –0.586 –1.53 0.034 0.1 0.242 1.08
IS 0.115 1.31 0.118 1.1 0.146 1.2 0.264 3.35
RDS 0.292 1.45 0.482 1.51 –0.182 –0.91 0.193 1.3
F-Statistic 1.08 1.51 3.33 5.71
Adj R2 0.01 0.05 0.17 0.16
1972 1973 1974 1975Variable Coeff T-Stat Coeff T-Stat Coeff T-Stat Coeff T-Stat
Intercept –0.014 –1.63 –0.002 –0.06 –0.004 –0.16 –0.007 –0.76
DE –0.001 –1.34 –0.003 –1.31 0 0.46 0.001 1.37
INTE –0.024 –1.18 –0.229 –9.69 –0.02 –3.08 –0.001 –0.28
PKL 0.011 0.41 –0.383 –4.07 –0.136 –1.91 –0.05 –1.99
DS –0.126 –1.48 5.409 15.34 3.269 9.68 0.545 3.28
IS 0.425 11.15 0.607 4.21 0.204 1.59 0.364 6.57
RDS –0.025 –0.19 0.709 1.58 0.221 0.61 –0.075 –0.51
F-Statistic 23.55 43.05 16.12 9.66
Adj R2 0.36 0.47 0.24 0.14
1976 1977 1978 1979Variable Coeff T-Stat Coeff T-Stat Coeff T-Stat Coeff T-Stat
Intercept –0.017 –1.71 –0.004 –0.44 –0.004 –0.5 –0.004 –0.24
DE 0 –0.59 0.001 0.37 0 1.22 0 0.02
INTE –0.009 –0.69 0.001 1.31 –0.004 –0.71 –0.007 –0.62
PKL –0.077 –2.43 0.063 2.17 –0.084 –3.36 0.034 0.76
DS 0.809 4.13 –1.697 –9.19 0.534 3.93 –1.461 –6.1
IS 0.667 13.41 0.444 9.72 0.606 16.92 0.544 7.68
RDS –0.319 –1.9 –0.522 –3.56 –0.141 –1.15 –0.222 –1.08
F-Statistic 36.87 26.78 57.83 13.26
Adj R2 0.39 0.31 0.5 0.18
(Continued)