New Scientist - USA (2022-02-05)

(Antfer) #1
5 February 2022 | New Scientist | 7

News


Hot water
Heatwaves across
the oceans are the
new normal p

Mind the gap
Game theory shows
how people crowd
on trains p

Gene collector
An insect has picked
up useful DNA from
its food p

No more cookies
Google is changing
the way it tracks
web users p

Distant starburst
Supernova remnant
may have been seen
near Milky Way p

SEEN any unseasonably early
daffodils showing their faces yet?
UK spring flowers are opening
nearly a month earlier than they
did before the mid-1980s, due to
climate change.
That is the conclusion of a study
of nearly 420,000 observations
of the first flowering date of 406
plants from a UK citizen science
project called Nature’s Calendar.
It has records dating back to 1753
from gardeners and naturalists,
as well as bodies such as the UK’s
Royal Meteorological Society.
Ulf Büntgen at the University
of Cambridge and his team found
that plants were opening their
flowers 26 days earlier on average
in the years after 1986 than they
did before. They picked that year

as it was the midpoint in the data
set – where they had about the
same number of observations
before and after – because there
were many more recent records
than earlier ones (Proceedings of
the Royal Society B, DOI: 10.1098/
rspb.2021.2456).
The analysis included records
of all plants, whatever time of year
they flower, but most of them
(like the daffodils pictured above)
bloom in spring. “It is likely that
the influence of climate change
will be greater for spring-flowering
plants, where the usual onset of
warmer temperatures that would
trigger flowering starts earlier,”
says a spokesperson for the UK’s
Royal Horticultural Society.
There was a bigger advance

in the dates of the first blooms
for smaller plants, with those
less than 20 centimetres high
flowering an average of 32 days
earlier in the years after 1986
than they had historically.
In any year, flower opening
times were closely correlated
with the average temperature of
the months from January to April.
“If it’s warmer, it’s an earlier onset.
If it’s cooler, it’s a later one,” says
Büntgen. The average maximum
temperature across those four
months rose by 1.1°C, comparing
the period from 1950 to 1986
with the years after 1986.
The shift could hurt insects,
birds and other wildlife that has
evolved to sync with the flowering
of certain plants, says Büntgen.  ❚

Warmer temperatures in the UK due to climate change are triggering
spring flowers to bloom sooner, reports Clare Wilson

Spring comes early


RO


YA
L^ B


OT


AN
IC^ G


AR
DE


NS
,^ KE


W


Climate change

TWO record-breaking
lightning flashes occurred
in 2020, the World
Meteorological Organization
has confirmed.
One of the flashes
occurred in the southern
US in April of that year
and had a length of about
768 kilometres, or the
distance from London
to Hamburg in Germany.
This is 60 kilometres longer
than the previous record
set in Brazil in 2018.
The second flash was
measured in June 2020.
It straddled the Uruguay-
Argentina border, and
lasted for 17 seconds, longer
than any other flash ever
detected (Bulletin of the
American Meteorological
Society, doi.org/hfhh).
The flash that spanned
the southern US would have
been difficult to measure
with conventional ground-
based equipment, so
meteorologists turned
to lightning mappers on
geostationary satellites,
which have a far wider
field of view.
“We have had this type
of lightning-detection and
mapping equipment in orbit
only for a handful of years,
and through it, we are
learning much more,” says
co-author Randall Cerveny
at Arizona State University.
With both flashes
occurring in 2020, it might 
seem to indicate that
lightning is becoming more
extreme, but it could simply
be that improved imaging
capabilities allowed both
records to be broken so

recently. Alex Wilkins (^) ❚
Physics
Lightning records
set in the Americas

Free download pdf