62 The Basics of financial economeTrics
TAbLE 3.5 (continued)
Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
Yield
Exp.
Infl.
Real
Rate Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
Yield
Exp.
Infl.
Real
Rate Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
Yield
Exp.
Infl.
Real
Rate
1975 1978 1981
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7.5
7.39
7.73
8.23
8.06
7.86
8.06
8.4
8.43
8.15
8.05
8
5.243
5.343
5.431
5.518
5.585
5.639
5.687
5.716
5.738
5.753
5.759
5.761
2.962
2.827
2.710
2.595
2.477
2.384
2.311
2.271
2.241
2.210
2.200
2.186
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7.96
8.03
8.04
8.15
8.35
8.46
8.64
8.41
8.42
8.64
8.81
9.01
6.832
6.890
6.942
7.003
7.063
7.124
7.191
7.263
7.331
7.400
7.463
7.525
1.068
0.995
0.923
0.854
0.784
0.716
0.598
0.482
0.397
0.365
0.322
0.284
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
12.57
13.19
13.12
13.68
14.1
13.47
14.28
14.94
15.32
15.15
13.39
13.72
8.520
8.594
8.649
8.700
8.751
8.802
8.877
8.956
9.039
9.110
9.175
9.232
1.132
1.242
1.336
1.477
1.619
1.755
1.897
2.037
2.155
2.256
2.305
2.392
1976 1979 1982
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7.74
7.79
7.73
7.56
7.9
7.86
7.83
7.77
7.59
7.41
7.29
6.87
5.771
5.777
5.800
5.824
5.847
5.870
5.900
5.937
5.981
6.029
6.079
6.130
2.166
2.164
2.138
2.101
2.060
2.034
1.988
1.889
1.813
1.753
1.681
1.615
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
9.1
9.1
9.12
9.18
9.25
8.91
8.95
9.03
9.33
10.3
10.65
10.39
7.582
7.645
7.706
7.758
7.797
7.821
7.834
7.837
7.831
7.823
7.818
7.818
0.254
0.224
0.174
0.108
0.047
−0.025
−0.075
−0.101
−0.085
0.011
0.079
0.154
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
14.59
14.43
13.86
13.87
13.62
14.3
13.95
13.06
12.34
10.91
10.55
10.54
9.285
9.334
9.375
9.417
9.456
9.487
9.510
9.524
9.519
9.517
9.502
9.469
2.497
2.612
2.741
2.860
2.958
3.095
3.183
3.259
3.321
3.363
3.427
3.492
1977 1980 1983
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7.21
7.39
7.46
7.37
7.46
7.28
7.33
7.4
7.34
7.52
7.58
7.69
6.176
6.224
6.272
6.323
6.377
6.441
6.499
6.552
6.605
6.654
6.710
6.768
1.573
1.527
1.474
1.427
1.397
1.340
1.293
1.252
1.217
1.193
1.154
1.119
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
10.8
12.41
12.75
11.47
10.18
9.78
10.25
11.1
11.51
11.75
12.68
12.84
7.825
7.828
7.849
7.879
7.926
7.989
8.044
8.109
8.184
8.269
8.356
8.446
0.261
0.418
0.615
0.701
0.716
0.702
0.695
0.716
0.740
0.795
0.895
1.004
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
10.46
10.72
10.51
10.4
10.38
10.85
11.38
11.85
11.65
11.54
11.69
11.83
9.439
9.411
9.381
9.340
9.288
9.227
9.161
9.087
9.012
8.932
8.862
8.800
3.553
3.604
3.670
3.730
3.806
3.883
3.981
4.076
4.152
4.204
4.243
4.276