64 The Basics of financial economeTrics
TAbLE 3.5 (continued)
Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
Yield
Exp.
Infl.
Real
Rate Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
Yield
Exp.
Infl.
Real
Rate Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
Yield
Exp.
Infl.
Real
Rate
1993 1996 1999
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
6.359
6.02
6.024
6.009
6.149
5.776
5.807
5.448
5.382
5.427
5.819
5.794
4.495
4.482
4.466
4.453
4.439
4.420
4.399
4.380
4.357
4.333
4.309
4.284
2.474
2.427
2.385
2.330
2.272
2.214
2.152
2.084
2.020
1.958
1.885
1.812
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
5.58
6.098
6.327
6.67
6.852
6.711
6.794
6.943
6.703
6.339
6.044
6.418
3.505
3.458
3.418
3.376
3.335
3.297
3.261
3.228
3.195
3.163
3.131
3.102
1.250
1.270
1.295
1.328
1.359
1.387
1.417
1.449
1.481
1.516
1.558
1.608
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
4.651
5.287
5.242
5.348
5.622
5.78
5.903
5.97
5.877
6.024
6.191
6.442
2.631
2.621
2.605
2.596
2.586
2.572
2.558
2.543
2.527
2.515
2.502
2.490
2.933
2.964
2.998
3.018
3.035
3.058
3.079
3.103
3.129
3.150
3.161
3.165
1994 1997 2000
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
5.642
6.129
6.738
7.042
7.147
7.32
7.111
7.173
7.603
7.807
7.906
7.822
4.256
4.224
4.195
4.166
4.135
4.106
4.079
4.052
4.032
4.008
3.982
3.951
1.739
1.663
1.586
1.523
1.473
1.427
1.394
1.356
1.315
1.289
1.278
1.278
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
6.494
6.552
6.903
6.718
6.659
6.5
6.011
6.339
6.103
5.831
5.874
5.742
3.077
3.057
3.033
3.013
2.990
2.968
2.947
2.926
2.909
2.888
2.866
2.847
1.656
1.698
1.746
1.795
1.847
1.899
1.959
2.016
2.078
2.136
2.189
2.247
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
6.665
6.409
6.004
6.212
6.272
6.031
6.031
5.725
5.802
5.751
5.468
5.112
2.477
2.464
2.455
2.440
2.429
2.421
2.412
2.406
2.398
2.389
2.382
2.374
3.175
3.186
3.195
3.215
3.240
3.259
3.282
3.302
3.324
3.347
3.368
3.388
1995 1998 2001
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7.581
7.201
7.196
7.055
6.284
6.203
6.426
6.284
6.182
6.02
5.741
5.572
3.926
3.899
3.869
3.840
3.812
3.781
3.746
3.704
3.662
3.624
3.587
3.549
1.269
1.261
1.253
1.240
1.230
1.222
1.223
1.228
1.232
1.234
1.229
1.234
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
5.505
5.622
5.654
5.671
5.552
5.446
5.494
4.976
4.42
4.605
4.714
4.648
2.828
2.806
2.787
2.765
2.744
2.725
2.709
2.695
2.680
2.666
2.653
2.641
2.306
2.369
2.428
2.493
2.552
2.611
2.666
2.720
2.767
2.811
2.854
2.894
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
5.114
4.896
4.917
5.338
5.381
5.412
5.054
4.832
4.588
4.232
4.752
5.051
2.368
2.366
2.364
2.364
2.362
2.363
2.363
2.365
2.365
2.366
2.368
2.370
3.396
3.393
3.386
3.366
3.343
3.313
3.279
3.242
3.192
3.136
3.076
3.013