Option to Abandon
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2
120 (.6)
100 (.6)
90 (.4)
NPV = 162
150 (.4)
Option Value =
162 - 145 =
$17 mil
Example - Abandon
Mrs. Mulla gives you a non-retractable offer to buy your company for $150 mil
at anytime within the next year. Given the following decision tree of possible
outcomes, what is the value of the offer (i.e. the put option) and what is themost Mrs. Mulla could charge for the option?