84 Scientific American, March 2022
GRAPHIC SCIENCE
Text and Graphic by Katie Peek
Mexico City
Monterrey, N.L.
Corpus
Christi, Tex.
Houston
Dallas
Atlanta
Nashville
St. Louis
Washington
New York
Chicago
Toronto
Minneapolis
Montreal
Quebec City
Thunder
Bay, Ont.
Winnipeg,
Man.
Monarch
wintering
grounds^20 °
60 °
50 °
40 °
30 °
Edmonton,
Alta.
Calgary, Alta.
March April May June July
1–15 16–31 1–15 16–30 1–15 16–31 1–15 16–30 1–15 16–31
Latitude
2,266 4,482 5,229 4 ,1 6 4 4,031 9,218 7, 7 7 6 5,524 9,050
11,893 observations
2,266 4,482 5,229 4 ,1 6 4 4,031 9,218 7, 7 7 6 5,524 9,050
11,893 observations
The Great
Monarch
Odyssey
Citizen science data
reveal where and when
the famously itinerant
butterflies travel
It’s spring, and monarchs are on the
move. Every year the butterflies leave
their dense winter clusters near Mexi-
co City and head for northern latitudes.
It will take four months and three gen-
erations to get there. Once they arrive,
the butterflies will get busy boosting
their company enough to survive next
year’s winter. It’s a Si syphean task—
eastern monarch numbers have dropped
80 percent in the past 20 years because
of habitat degradation (in clud ing few-
er flowers)—throughout their range,
says Iman Momeni-De hag hi, a biologist
at Carleton University in Ottawa. Enter
citizen scientists, who have been build-
ing databases such as Journey North,
which Momeni-Dehaghi re cent ly used
to identify where the overwintering
generation hatches. The data could help
re search ers devise more targeted in ter-
ventions for a species
in rapid decline.
Area Included
Monarchs from wintering
grounds in Mexico ( orange star )
spread through North America east
of the Rockies. Florida is excluded because
its monarchs over winter
there rather than
in Mexico.
15 °
30 °
45 °
60 °
15°
30°
45 °
60°
First Generation
The spring eggs
gestate for a month
or so. By late April
first-generation
monarchs emerge
and begin to fly
north, laying eggs
as they go.
The Old Guard
In March the mon-
archs that wintered in
Mexico move north. In
northern Mexico and
the southern U.S., they
lay the eggs that will
be the first generation
of the next life cycle.
Second Generation
In late May and early
June the second gen er a-
tion hatches. The South
will soon be too hot for
monarchs, so those
born there move north.
Their objective:
make more butterflies.
Third and Fourth Generations
In late summer the last generations
emerge in the northern part of the
monarch range. These are the butter-
flies that will make the trek south
again, starting in September. They
will spend November through March
in the mountains of Michoacán,
then begin the cycle anew.
HOW TO READ
THIS GRAPHIC
Each shape represents
sightings of eastern
monarchs—eggs,
larvae and adult
butter^ flies—logged
in the Journey North
database between
2012 and 2021 (more
than 66,000 data
points). For each shape,
width represents the
number of sightings
during that half
month, corrected by
the human population
at that latitude.
Sources:
Monarch Sightings from Journey North Citizen Science Data (
journeynorth.org
);^
Population Data from Columbia University’s Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (S
EDAC
)