2-6 INDEPENDENCE 47
EXAMPLE 2-24 The information in Table 2-3 related surface flaws to functionally defective parts. In that case,
we determined that and Suppose that the
situation is different and follows Table 2-4. Then,
That is, the probability that the part is defective does not depend on whether it has surface
flaws. Also,
so the probability of a surface flaw does not depend on whether the part is defective.
Furthermore, the definition of conditional probability implies that
but in the special case of this problem
The preceding example illustrates the following conclusions. In the special case that
we obtain
and
These conclusions lead to an important definition.
P 1 AƒB 2
P 1 A ̈B 2
P 1 B 2
P 1 A 2 P 1 B 2
P 1 B 2
P 1 A 2
P 1 A ̈B 2 P 1 BƒA 2 P 1 A 2 P 1 B 2 P 1 A 2
P 1 B 0 A 2 P 1 B 2 ,
P 1 F ̈D 2 P 1 D 2 P 1 F 2
2
40
2
20
1
200
P 1 F ̈D 2 P 1 DƒF 2 P 1 F 2
P 1 FƒD 2 2
20 0.10 and P 1 F 2 40
400 0.10
P 1 DƒF 2 2
40 0.05 and P 1 D 2 20
400 0.05
P 1 DƒF 2 10
40 0.25 P 1 D 2 28
400 0.07.
Table 2-4 Parts Classified
Surface Flaws
Yes (event F) No Total
Defective Yes (event D) 2 18 20
No 38 342 380
Total 40 360 400
Two events are independentif any one of the following equivalent statements is true:
(1)
(2)
(3) P 1 A ̈B 2 P 1 A 2 P 1 B (^2) (2-9)
P 1 BƒA 2 P 1 B 2
P 1 AƒB 2 P 1 A 2
Definition
c 02 .qxd 5/10/02 1:07 PM Page 47 RK UL 6 RK UL 6:Desktop Folder:TEMP WORK:MONTGOMERY:REVISES UPLO D CH114 FIN L:Quark Files: