Revolution, a number of important problems
emerged: first, increasing pest and weed prob-
lems; second, problems of storage and pro-
cessing; and, third, ecological deterioration
(especially loss of germ plasm, water depletion
and toxicity). All of these direct and indirect
consequences initiated a still ongoing debate
over the consequences of HYVs (see Shiva,
1991, 1996).
At the heart of the impact question are
equity,povertyandsocial justice. In the
early years, the adoption of HYV packages
(and the recognition that the packages were
notscaleneutral) prompted much specula-
tion about new forms of social differentiation
among peasantries, ofclassconflict between
adopters and non-adopters, of deteriorating
labour conditions, as HYVs were labour-
displacing rather than labour-saving – of the
‘green revolution turning red’. As the Indian
case shows, there was in fact no simple polar-
ization of landholding, though there has been
the consolidation of aclassof increasingly
commercialized and organized rich peasants
who have benefited from the Green Revolu-
tion (these are the heart of the New Farmers
Movement in India, which has changed the
face of local and national politics: seesocial
movements). The impact onlabour markets
(new forms of migration, changing forms
of labour permanency and tenancy), on land-
holding (cf. land tenure) and on social
inequality is enormously complex, in part
because of the linkages and off-farm employ-
ment (Hazell, 1987). On balance, the mech-
anization that has followed the HYV adoption
has been labour displacing and has favoured
those with concentrated capital displacement.
New forms of inequality have emerged, but
this is often attributed by the proponents
of the HYVs to population growth and state
rent-seeking rather than technologyper se. The
debate continues.
The Green Revolution has unquestionably
increased food output per capita, but this has
not necessarily increased food availability for
the poor (Dreze and Sen, 1989), and nor has it
improved the lot of the poor (Lipton, 1989).
The first issue turns less on output than on
availability and entitlements – in short, the
social component of the Green Revolution
(including land reform). The second speaks
to the problems of both the uneven adoption
of HYVs and the biases built into the breeding
programmes themselves. The miracle seeds
are often not pro-poor and do not speak
to the circumstances of the land-poor and
landless.
There is a debate over whether the Green
Revolution has ‘ended’ in the sense that there
are no new seed breakthroughs likely in the
worldstaplecrops. The pessimists foresee a
Malthusian nightmare offamineand pesti-
lence, compounded by the growth of Chinese
staple food imports. Nonetheless, the Green
Revolution has entered a second phase associ-
ated with the breakthroughs of molecular
science and recombinant DNA. Here, the
issue is increasingly the power of large trans-
national seed and pharmaceutical companies,
who develop new crops with built-in require-
ments for particular inputs, and the intellec-
tual property rights that attend to the
concentration of power inagribusinesscom-
panies (Shiva, 1996). Genetically modified
HYVs (whether soy or corn) have become
part of an embattled agricultural landscape in
which environmental questions have been tied
to corporate power and the pressures exerted
through theworld trade organizationby
First World states to liberalize protected
agricultural sectors in the global south.
Many of the most vociferous of theanti-
globalization movements have often ex-
pressed concerns over the ways in which the
second phase of the Green Revolution is now
refiguring the international food order, now
dominated by corporate power and a new
round of privatized agricultural and seed tech-
nologies (Rosset, 2006). The current debates
over farmer breeding rights, genetically modi-
fied crops andintellectual property rights
suggests that the next Green Revolution will
be as fraught as the first. mw
Suggested reading
Bayliss-Smith and Wanmali (1984); Grigg (1989).
greenhouse effect Seeglobal warming
gross domestic product (GDP) A monet-
ary estimate of the value (at current market
prices) of final goods and services produced
within aneconomy(usually national) during
a given period. Capital expenditure, indirect
taxes and subsidies are excluded, as is the
value of intermediate products (such as raw
materials) which is included in the value of
final goods. GDP is often favoured over
gross national product(gnp) as a measure
of economic activity because it excludes net
income from abroad. International compar-
isons of GDP, either in aggregate or per capita,
are difficult because of fluctuations in currency
values through floating exchange rates, and
some attempt to standardize for this using
Gregory / The Dictionary of Human Geography 9781405132879_4_G Final Proof page 319 2.4.2009 6:30pm
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)