223
0.0%
0.3%
0.8%
0.5%
1.0%
1.3%
1.6%
1.8%
2.1%
2.3%
2.6%
2.9%
3.1%
3.4%
3.6%
3.9%
4.2%
4.4%
4.7%
4.9%
5.2%
5.5%
5.7%
6.0%
6.3%
6.5%
6.8%
7.0%
7.3%
7.6%
7.8%
8.1%
8.3%
8.6%
8.9%
9.1%
9.4%
9.6%
9.9%
Proportion of failures (POF)
160 140 120 100
Probability density
80 60 40 20 0
Prior (common)Posterior Model 1Posterior Model 2
Figure 11.1
Prior and posterior distribution of the POF