Physical obstacles, geographic conditions or the fact that an indivi-
dual can only observe and process so much information can limit
the possibility of meeting the observation condition. But in cont-
rast to military operations, in which the course of events depends
on human activity, the course of events at an incident site can be
predicted by applying the laws of physics that are applicable to it.
In other words it is often possible through logical reasoning and
with basic knowledge or experience of how different types of in-
cidents develop and the effects different measures have, to make
reasonable predictions for likely developments at incident sites
and with regard to risk situations. It should be possible to make
equivalent predictions from the standpoint of any of the system
levels. In the case of higher, overall decision domains, it may be
necessary to let other organisations carry out such evaluations
and predictions. An example of this can be weather observations
and metro logical forecasts, including assessments of the risk of
flooding, fires etc.
The observation condition also includes access to information
on the system, which can appear different depending on the sys-
tem level it is seen from. While at the incident site and while tra-
velling to the incident the commander is bombarded with infor-
mation. His or her cognitive capacity then works to transform this
information, a process usually referred to as ’decisionmaking’.
Information, experience, knowledge and cognition are funda
mental components in this process.
Climbing/increasing Constant
Large/high
Sinking/
decreasing
Short Long
Small/low
Example of how the
conditions of a system
can be described and
related to one another.