How about: A study of height and caloric consumption found
that taller people eat more. If you conclude: To grow taller, eat more, a logic course will help you not only evaluate studies better, it will help you get through life.
Where Did You Get the Information?
Information from lay publications, advertising, fellow athletes,
endorsements, or coaches may be biased. Read more about this on page
142
.
Published results of studies should not be taken at face value
alone. Peer-reviewed studies are of greater value than self-funded self-published studies. Abstracts or reports are of lower value.
Smell Test
Every study method and design has limitations. Irrespective of
the methods used, the results should make sense to you. If the author’s results do not make sense, be cautious about accepting them at face value.
Study Design
Suppose you have two treatments to compare. They might be
two diets, two forms of exercise, or two pieces of equipment. How should you design your study to obtain a valid comparison of the two treatments?
Common sense probably tells you, correctly, to give the
treatments to two groups of comparable subjects and see which group does better.
It is simple, yet it can be complicated. Give more weight to studies that are prospective, controlled,
double-blinded, and include large numbers of subjects.
Prospective, Double-Blinded, Randomized, Controlled Trials
Done well, these studies genera
lly provide a high level of
evidence.
This design reduces the effects of confounding and bias more
than other designs. Prospective
A study in which subjects are enrolled and then followed
forward in time. This is important
in studies on ergogenics, therapy,
prognosis, or harm. Retrospective studies make hidden biases likely. Blinded (Masked)
Blinded
means blind with respect to treatment.
In a
single-blind study
, subjects do not know what treatment they
are receiving. This insures their responses will not be affected by prior expectations and that subseque
nt behavior will not be affected
by knowledge of the treatment. In some rare instances,
single blind
refers to situations where subjects know their treatments and only the person evaluating them is blinded.
In a
double-blind study
, subjects and anyone who has contact
with them or makes judgments about them is blinded to the assignment of treatments. This insures subjective judgments will not be affected by knowledge of a subject’s treatment.
In
triple blinding
, the analyst or statistician is given the data with
uninformative treatment labels such as A and B and their identities are not revealed until the analyses are completed.
Blinding improves the quality of a study. For example: A
researcher studying bone density in cyclists and attempting to show that cyclists had low bone density
discarded the results of one cyclist
who had high bone density, after co
llecting her data, on the basis of
the subject having been an ex-runner. If this subject was to be excluded, she should have been ex
cluded before her bone density
results were known.
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